UCF has worked itself into the College Football Playoff conversation multiple times in recent years. This season, No. 3 Cincinnati has a great chance to become the first Group of Five program to finally make the field. These AAC powers meet up on Saturday in an intriguing Week 7 matchup. Cincinnati (5-0) will look to keep piling up impressive wins to bolster its playoff case, while UCF (3-2) is looking to get its season headed in a better direction after dropping two out of its last three.

Kickoff from Nippert Stadium is set for noon ET. The latest Cincinnati vs. UCF odds from Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bearcats as 21.5-point favorites, while the over-under for total points is set at 56. Before locking in any Cincinnati vs. UCF picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Cincinnati vs. UCF and just released its CFB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for UCF vs. Cincinnati:  

  • UCF vs. Cincinnati spread: Cincinnati -21.5
  • UCF vs. Cincinnati over-under: 56 points
  • UCF vs. Cincinnati money line: UCF +900, Cincinnati -1700
  • CIN: The Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in October
  • UCF: The Knights are 1-4 ATS this season
Featured Game | Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights

Why Cincinnati can cover

Senior quarterback Desmond Ridder has been consistent through five games, completing 65 percent of his passes for 1,304 yards with 12 passing touchdowns. He has passed for at least 200 yards with a passing touchdown in every matchup this season. Against No. 14 Norte Dame, Ridder went 19 of 32 for a season-high 297 yards with two touchdowns. He also scored a touchdown on the ground. The Kentucky native has been able to limit his turnovers, only tossing two interceptions on the year.

Junior Jerome Ford is the top option in the backfield, leading Cincinnati with 82 carries for 520 yards and eight touchdowns. He is constantly gaining positive yards and averages 6.3 yards per carry. Ford is coming off the best game of his 2021 campaign. Against Temple, he had 15 carries for 149 yards with two scores. He opened the second half up with a 75-yard touchdown run. This duo for the Bearcats has given the offense some serious firepower. 

Why UCF can cover

The Knights trot out a solid receiver corp. Junior Ryan O'Keefe leads UCF with 28 catches for 315 yards with a score. O'Keefe is averaging 63 receiving yards per game and made plays last week against East Carolina. He reeled in a season-high 10 grabs for 73 yards. Redshirt senior Brandon Johnson is another solid weapon on offense.

Johnson, a transfer from Tennessee, is second on the team with 20 receptions for 240 yards, while securing a team-high five scores. The Florida native has caught a touchdown pass in four of the five games played. Against Navy, Johnson caught four passes for 79 yards with two scores. This duo looks to break free against Cincinnati's stubborn pass defense. 

How to make UCF vs. Cincinnati picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 59 points. It also has an against the spread pick that hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Cincinnati vs. UCF? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 19-7 run on top-rated picks, and find out.