Two National League teams who underachieved in the first half of the season will look to start the second half on the right note on Friday evening. The Philadelphia Phillies (48-41) were in the World Series a year ago but are currently outside of Wild Card positioning in the NL, and they'll host the San Diego Padres (43-47), who are under .500 despite having the third-highest payroll in MLB. Yu Darvish (5-6, 4.87 ERA) takes the mound for the Padres opposite Cristopher Sanchez (0-2, 2.84) of Philadelphia.
The first pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park. San Diego is listed at -115 on the money line (risk $115 to win $100) in the latest Padres vs. Phillies odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 9.5. Before making any Phillies vs. Padres picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the All-Star break 44-32 (+191) on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks this season, going 11-2 (+604). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Padres vs. Phillies and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Phillies vs. Padres:
- Padres vs. Phillies money line: Padres -115, Phillies -105
- Padres vs. Phillies run line: Padres -1.5 (+143)
- Padres vs. Phillies over/under: 9.5 runs
- SD: Padres are 7-1 on the run line over their last eight games
- PHI: The Under is 5-0 when Sanchez starts
- Padres vs. Phillies picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Padres
San Diego struggled for much of the pre-All-Star break, but it ended the first half of the season on a high note, winning back-to-back games versus the Mets. San Diego has won five of its last six, with all five victories coming by multiple runs.
Manny Machado has appeared to have regained the form that's made him a six-time All-Star. Since July 1, Machado has a slash line of .406/.472/1.000 with six home runs over the eight games. Meanwhile, Juan Soto remains an on-base machine, ranking first in walks, second in on-base percentage and eighth in OPS. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Phillies
Sanchez has been exactly what the Phillies needed since rejoining the team in mid-June. He has a 2.14 ERA over his last four starts with a 17:2 K:BB over that stretch. As a team, Philadelphia has posted a 3.16 ERA since June 1 which is the best mark in baseball by a wide margin.
Some of Philadelphia's complementary players in its lineup are hoping to pick up where they left off at the All-Star break. Alec Bohm is hitting .367 in July while Bryson Stott is hitting .400 in the month. As a team, the Phillies are hitting .258 which is the fourth-best mark in the National League. See which team to back here.
How to make Phillies vs. Padres picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Padres vs. Phillies, and which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 44-32 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.
