Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks look for a second consecutive victory against the Orlando Magic in Game 3 of a best-of-seven series on Saturday afternoon. The Bucks throttled the Magic in Game 2 on Thursday, though Orlando started off the series with a stunning upset victory in the opener. The Magic will be without Jonathan Isaac (knee) and Mo Bamba (post-COVID) in this matchup, with Aaron Gordon (hamstring) listed as questionable and Michael Carter-Williams (foot) listed as doubtful for Game 3. For the Bucks, Antetokounmpo (calf) is listed as probable.
HP Field House in Orlando will host this 1 p.m. ET tip, which is the first matchup on the Saturday schedule for the 2020 NBA Playoffs. William Hill lists Milwaukee as the 12.5-point favorite in the latest Bucks vs. Magic odds. The over-under for total points expected is 222.5, down after opening at 226. Before making any Magic vs. Bucks picks, see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned well over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 58-32 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. Amazingly, it hasn't missed a single top-rated pick (5-0) since the NBA's restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Bucks vs. Magic spread: Bucks -12.5
- Bucks vs. Magic over-under: 222.5 points
- Bucks vs. Magic money line: Bucks -1100, Magic +700
- MIL: The Bucks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
- ORL: The Magic are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Bucks can cover
The Bucks are a tremendous two-way team, with top-flight metrics on both ends of the floor. Much of that overall effectiveness is buoyed by Antetokounmpo, who is the leading contender for the NBA's MVP award this season. He is a dominant defensive force, helping to key the league's best defense by the numbers, and Antetokounmpo is also capable of exploiting matchup advantages on the offensive end by attacking the rim and the offensive glass at will.
Beyond that, Milwaukee is the more talented team from top to bottom, utilizing a very deep rotation of quality players that is highlighted by Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe and Brook Lopez. The Magic are well-coached, but Milwaukee's roster is superior across the board.
Why the Magic can cover
Two of Orlando's overarching strengths happen to coincide with Milwaukee's biggest weaknesses. The Magic are one of the best defensive rebounding teams in the league and, for all of their strong points, the Bucks do not put pressure on the opposition by crashing the offensive glass.
On the other end, Orlando protects the ball, issuing a turnover on only 12.9 percent of possessions. That ball security should be magnified against a conservative Milwaukee defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in havoc creation. While Orlando is at an unquestioned talent disadvantage, Steve Clifford has his team prepared, and the Bucks haven't been operating at their optimal level for much of the first two games. If that continues, the Magic will have a puncher's chance in Game 3.
How to make Bucks vs. Magic picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with Middleton and Evan Fournier projected to fall short of their season-long scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Magic vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Magic spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.