Teams looking to win the season series clash on Thursday when the Miami Heat battle the Philadelphia 76ers. The Heat (42-37), who are 22-27 against the East, are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The 76ers (52-27), who are 32-17 vs. teams in the East, have won 29 of 40 home games. The Heat won their lone game at Philadelphia this season, 101-99 on Feb. 27, while the 76ers won at Miami, 119-96 on March 1. Kyle Lowry (knee) is questionable for Miami, while Tyrese Maxey (neck), De'Anthony Melton (calf) and P.J. Tucker (calf) are all questionable for the Sixers.
The game will tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. The Heat are averaging 109 points per game this season, 30th-best in the league, while the 76ers average 115.1, 14th-best. Philadelphia is a 2-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. 76ers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 219.5. Before locking in any 76ers vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the final week of the 2022-23 NBA regular season a stunning 71-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Sixers and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NBA lines and trends for Sixers vs. Heat:
- Heat vs. 76ers spread: 76ers -2
- Heat vs. 76ers over/under: 219.5 points
- Heat vs. 76ers money line: Heat +105, 76ers -125
- MIA: The Under is 4-0 in the Heat's last four road games against a team with a winning home record
- PHI: The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record
- Heat vs. 76ers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the 76ers can cover
Power forward Tobias Harris is one of five Philadelphia players averaging double-figure scoring. In 73 games, all starts, Harris is averaging 14.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 33 minutes. He is averaging 14.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists over the past 10 games. Harris has scored 10 or more points in 59 games, including 26 games with 20 or more points, and he has five double-doubles on the year.
Shooting guard James Harden is coming off a 20-point, 10-assist effort against Boston on Tuesday. In that game, Harden also had five rebounds and two blocked shots, and he's had at least a double-double in seven of eight games. In a 121-82 victory at Charlotte on March 17, he posted a triple-double with 11 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists. For the season, he averages 21.1 points, 10.8 assists, 6.1 rebounds and 1.2 steals.
Why the Heat can cover
Despite that, Philadelphia isn't a lock to cover the Heat vs. 76ers spread. That's because small forward Jimmy Butler leads the team, averaging 22.9 points, 5.9 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 1.9 steals per game. He nearly had a triple-double in Tuesday's 118-105 win at Detroit. In that game, he scored 27 points, while grabbing eight rebounds and dishing out eight assists, while making four steals. He had a double-double in a 129-122 win over Dallas on Saturday, scoring 35 points, dishing out 12 assists and grabbing three boards.
Also helping propel the Heat is point guard Tyler Herro. Herro is averaging 20.3 points over the past 10 games, and is coming off an 18-point, five-rebound and two assist performance at Detroit on Tuesday. He is a perfect 42 of 42 from the free-throw line in the fourth quarter this season. For the year, he is averaging 20.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 65 games played, all starts.
How to make Heat vs. 76ers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 222 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Sixers vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
