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Over the last two weeks, Toronto center Pascal Siakam has held the sixth-highest points per game average at 32.6 over his six total starts. He leads the Raptors (15-19) at home on Thursday against the Memphis Grizzlies (20-13), who have been in a funk in the five games since a 41-point win over Milwaukee on December 15. Thursday will be the first meeting between the teams this year after they each took a win from the other in two games last season.

Tip-off from Scotiabank Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET, where the Raptors are 10-7 this season. Memphis is favored by 3 points in the latest Raptors vs. Grizzlies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 229. Before entering any Grizzlies vs. Raptors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 33-13 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning almost $1,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Raptors vs. Grizzlies. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Raptors:

  • Raptors vs. Grizzlies spread: Raptors +3
  • Raptors vs. Grizzlies over/under: 229 points
  • Raptors vs. Grizzlies money line: Toronto +130, Memphis -155
  • Raptors vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Raptors

The Raptors lost to the Los Angeles Clippers at home by a decisive 124-113 margin on Tuesday. Siakam carried the day for Toronto in the losing effort, and he finished with 36 points, five assists and nine rebounds. Point guard Fred VanVleet only scored four points on a 2-for-6 night from the floor, and he is listed as questionable for Thursday after dealing with back spasms following Tuesday's game.

Although Toronto is 2-1 over its last three games, its success has come primarily on the offensive end of the floor. During that stretch, the Raptors have shot a healthy 48.5% from the field and 36.2% from beyond the 3-point line. The concern heading into Thursday is that the Raps have only averaged 40 rebounds, 7.7 steals and 3.3 blocks in those games. In addition to VanVleet being questionable, Precious Achiuwa (ankle) is also a game-time decision.

What you need to know about the Grizzlies

Memphis' lone win in its last five games came against Phoenix on December 23, but the Suns got revenge when they played on Tuesday, 125-108. Power forward Jaren Jackson Jr. had his worst shooting performance of the season and finished with only six points on a 2-for-12 shooting night. Ja Morant scored a game-high 34 points, but he made just 8-of-22 shots to get there.

The Raptors have allowed their opponents to shoot 48.9% this season, which is the second-highest mark in the league. By comparison, the Grizzlies have held their opponents to 44.9%, but they have also allowed them to hit 40% of their 3-point attempts over their last three games. The Grizz will have to pay special attention to Toronto's OG Anunoby, who has drained 48% of his threes over his last four starts.

How to make Raptors vs. Grizzlies picks

The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Raptors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Raptors vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out!