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Bam Adebayo led Miami's starters in scoring on Monday night, despite totaling just nine points on 3-of-5 shooting. He had scored in double figures in five of his previous six games, including a 31-point showing in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Boston Celtics. Adebayo will be looking for a similar effort when the Heat take the court for Game 5 on Wednesday night.

The latest NBA prop bets from Caesars Sportsbook list the over-under for Adebayo's total points at 15.5. He has only gone over that number once in his last six games, so should you be fading him with your NBA prop bets? Before making any NBA prop picks for Wednesday's showdown, you need to see the Heat vs. Celtics prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

With Boston vs. Miami on Wednesday night (see tickets at StubHub), the model has evaluated the NBA player props and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NBA player prop bets for Celtics vs. Heat

After simulating Game 5 of Heat vs. Celtics 10,000 times, the model predicts that Miami point guard Kyle Lowry goes under 10.5 total points. The veteran has been one of the most consistent point guards in the NBA over the last five years, but he is struggling to get healthy right now. Lowry missed the first two games of this series before recording his highest-scoring game of the playoffs with 11 points in Game 3.

He was unable to back up that performance in Game 4, going 1-of-6 for three points. Lowry's playoff average is now just 6.4 points, going under 10.5 points in all but one game. He is facing one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, so SportsLine's model has identified the under as a strong wager on Wednesday night. 

How to make NBA player prop bets for Heat vs. Celtics

In addition, the model has a plus-money prop payout on a player's performance you'll want to jump on. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Celtics vs. Heat prop bets.

Which Heat vs. Celtics prop bets should you back on Wednesday night? And which stars are must-backs? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Celtics vs. Heat prop picks, all from the model that's up more than $2,100 on top-rated NBA picks.