The Utah Jazz will take on the Miami Heat at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at FTX Arena. Miami is 6-2 overall and 3-1 at home, while the Jazz are 7-1 overall and 4-1 on the road. Both teams are 6-2 against the spread on the season and the franchises split their two games both straight up and against the spread a season ago.
The Jazz won the first battle on Feb. 13 as seven-point favorites by a final score of 112-94, but the Heat responded by winning 124-116 as a 6.5-point underdog on Feb. 26. This time around, Miami is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Jazz odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 211.5. Before entering any Jazz vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 3 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 106-71 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Heat vs. Jazz spread: Heat -2.5
- Heat vs. Jazz over-under: 211.5 points
What you need to know about the Heat
Miami entered its game against the Boston Celtics on Thursday without any home losses, but took a hard 95-78 setback against Boston. Point guard Tyler Herro had a tough game, playing for 29 minutes but putting up just six points on 3-for-11 shooting.
However, Herro has generally been shooting the ball well this season and playing a massive role off the bench, averaging 20.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game. With Kyle Lowry (ankle) listed as questionable for Saturday's matchup, Jimmy Butler could spend a lot of time on the ball making Herro's ability to work a defense for shots as an off-ball guard even more important.
What you need to know about the Jazz
Meanwhile, Utah captured a comfortable 116-98 win over the Hawks on Thursday. Point guard Jordan Clarkson was one of the most active players for the Jazz, picking up 30 points off the bench. Last year's Sixth Man of the Year may have to keep up that pace in a primary scoring role given Utah's injury situation.
Donovan Mitchell missed the last game with an ankle injury and is listed as questionable for Saturday's matchup in Miami. With Royce O'Neale (ankle) also questionable, the Jazz may have to alter their rotation on the wing, which could mean more minutes for rookie Jared Butler, who has played just 5.5 minutes per game in the first eight games this season.
How to make Jazz vs. Heat picks
The model is leaning under on the total and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that's crushed its NBA picks.