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USATSI

The Washington Wizards (9-38) will host the Miami Heat (25-23) in a conference duel on Friday. These Southeast Division rivals are linking up for the second time this season, and on Nov. 3, the Heat outmatched the Wizards 121-114. Miami has dominated the all-time series against Washington, logging a 95-46 edge over the Wizards. Duncan Robinson (concussion) is out for the Heat, while Marvin Bagley III (back) is out for the Wizards.

Tipoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Miami is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. Wizards odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 228. Before making any Wizards vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 48-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning over $1,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Heat vs. Wizards. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Wizards vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Wizards spread: Miami -7.5
  • Heat vs. Wizards over/under: 228 points
  • Heat vs. Wizards money line: Miami -332, Washington +261
  • MIA: The Miami Heat have hit the 1H game total Under in 47 of their last 80 games
  • WAS: The Washington Wizards have hit the team total Under in 14 of their last 18 games 
  • Heat vs. Wizards picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Heat can cover

Center Bam Adebayo continues to be an active force in the frontcourt. Adebayo has the ball security to handle the rock in open space and has the court vision to find the open man. The Kentucky product also has a soft touch around the basket and is averaging 20.6 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. He totaled 16 points, 11 rebounds, and four assists in his last game.

Guard Tyler Herro generates offense with ease as he can shoot off the dribble and has the confidence to let it fly. The Kentucky product puts up 21.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per contest. He's supplied at least 18 points in three of his last five outings. On Monday, Herro had 17 points, four assists, and made five 3-pointers. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Wizards can cover

Forward Kyle Kuzma is one of the main contributors on offense. He leads the team in scoring (22) with 6.5 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. He dropped 22 points in Washington's first matchup of the season against Miami while knocking down 4 of 9 3-point attempts. In his last game, Kuzma totaled 27 points and two boards.

Tyus Jones provides Washington with a solid lead guard. Jones rarely turns the ball over, is a quality shot creator off pick and rolls, and averages a team-best 6.3 assists along with 12.3 points per game. He's dished out at least seven assists in four straight games. On Jan. 25 versus the Utah Jazz, Jones tallied 12 points, six rebounds and 14 assists. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Wizards vs. Heat picks

The model is leaning Over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick where one side has all of the value. You can only see who to pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Wizards, and which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 48-30 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.