A pivotal Game 4 matchup has the No. 6 seed Indiana Pacers hosting the No. 3 seed Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday evening. The Pacers have a chance to defend their home court and go up 3-1 against the Bucks. In Game 3, Indiana topped Milwaukee 121-118 in overtime. Two of the three games played thus far in this series have been won by double digits. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. The Pacers are 10-point favorites in the latest Bucks vs. Pacers odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 216. Before making any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the second week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 90-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Pacers and just locked in its picks and Game 4 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pacers vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. Pacers spread: Indiana -10
  • Bucks vs. Pacers over/under: 216 points 
  • Bucks vs. Pacers money line: Indiana -455, Milwaukee +347
  • MIL: The Bucks are 1-7 in their last eight games on the road
  • IND: The Pacers are 2-4 ATS in their last six games played on a Sunday 
  • Bucks vs. Pacers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Bucks can cover

Forward Bobby Portis will have a larger role to play in this matchup. Portis is a modern big man due to his ability to space the floor with his jumper. The Arkansas product fights on the glass, constantly creating space in the lane. The 29-year-old leads the team in rebounds (13.3) to go along with 15.3 points per game. In Game 3, he notched a double-double of 17 points and 18 boards. 

Center Brook Lopez is another contributor in the frontcourt. Lopez uses his long arms to swat away shots around the rim with a consistent jumper to be an asset on the outside. Through the first three games, Lopez averages 15.7 points, three rebounds, and 1.7 blocks per game. Additionally, he's shooting 53% from beyond the arc. Lopez finished with 14 points, four boards, and three assists in his last outing. See which team to back at SportsLine

Why the Pacers can cover

Center Myles Turner provides Indiana with an athletic rim protector. Turner finishes with force around the rim and has a solid shooting stroke from beyond the arc. Standing at 6'11", Turner moves well for his size. He's averaging 22.7 points, eight rebounds, and one block per game. In his last matchup, Turner finished with 29 points and nine boards.

Guard Andrew Nembhard gives the Pacers another capable ball handler and scorer in the backcourt. Nembhard has the speed to get out in space and plays feisty defense on the other end. The Gonzaga product is averaging 14 points, three rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game in this series. On April 26, Nembhard notched 16 points, five rebounds, and four assists. See which team to back at SportsLine

How to make Pacers vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 227 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can see the picks only at SportsLine.   

So who wins Bucks vs. Pacers, and which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pacers vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 90-58 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.