Madison Square Garden hosts an Eastern Conference tilt between the Chicago Bulls and the New York Knicks on Monday. The Knicks (33-42) enter on a three-game winning streak, while the Bulls (43-31) stopped a two-game skid on Saturday. The Bulls have won two of three meetings between the teams this year, with the team also covering in two of three games. Chicago will be without Lonzo Ball (knee) on Monday, while the Knicks' injury report consists of Cam Reddish (out; shoulder), Nerlens Noel (out; foot) and Quentin Grimes (questionable; knee).
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bulls as 3.5-point road favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 218 in the latest Bulls vs. Knicks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Bulls vs. Knicks match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 24 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 83-51 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Bulls vs. Knicks spread: Bulls -3.5
- Bulls vs. Knicks over-under: 218 points
- Bulls vs. Knicks money line: Bulls -160, Knicks +140
- CHI: The Bulls are 15-22-1 against the spread in road games
- NYK: The Knicks are 14-22 against the spread in home games
Why the Bulls can cover
The Bulls clearly have the best offense involved in this matchup. New York ranks near the bottom of the NBA in points per possession, two-point accuracy, assists per game, and points in the paint, and Chicago is prolific and efficient. The Bulls are scoring more than 1.12 points per possession, and Chicago is in the top five in shooting efficiency. The Bulls are making 48.1 percent of FG attempts and 37.1 percent of 3P attempts, and Chicago is making 81 percent of FT attempts.
Chicago also commits fewer than 13 turnovers per game, No. 6 in the NBA, and the Bulls generate 12.9 fast break points per game. The Bulls also have top-10 marks in a few defensive categories, headlined by defensive rebound rate and three-pointers allowed. Additionally, Chicago has the rest advantage against a New York team playing its second game in two days.
Why the Knicks can cover
New York is in the top 10 of the NBA in offensive rebound rate, securing more than 29 percent of missed shots. That offensive rebounding proficiency leads to more than 14 second-chance points per game, and the Knicks commit fewer than 14 turnovers per game. New York is above-average in frequency and accuracy from 3-point range, and Chicago ranks in the bottom quartile of the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed and turnover creation on defense.
Defensively, the Knicks are stingy, holding opponents to fewer than 1.11 points per possession. New York is in the top 10 of the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, defensive rebound rate, second-chance points allowed, fast-break points allowed and points allowed in the paint. Opponents are averaging only 24 assists per game against the Knicks, and the Bulls are in the bottom third of the NBA in free-throw attempts on offense.
How to make Bulls vs. Knicks picks
The model is leaning over on the total. It's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Knicks vs. Bulls? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.