The Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors square off in Game 1 of the 2022 Western Conference finals on Wednesday night. The Mavericks rallied from down 0-2 to defeat the Phoenix Suns in the last round in seven games. On the flip side, Golden State beat the Memphis Grizzlies in a grueling six-game series. The Mavericks have won five of their last six games against the Warriors, but Golden State enters Wednesday's matchup 8-0 in its last eight home games.
Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET at the Chase Center. Golden State is favored by 5.5-points in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 214.5. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Warriors, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Mavericks:
- Mavericks vs. Warriors spread: Golden State -5.5
- Mavericks vs. Warriors over-under: 214.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Warriors money line: Golden State -225, Dallas +185
- Mavericks vs. Warriors tickets: See tickets at StubHub
- DAL: The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on two days' rest
- GS: The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games
Why the Warriors can cover
Guard Jordan Poole is a great athlete and has been a constant scoring outlet for the Warriors. Poole can score at all three levels with ease and owns the ball handles to set up his teammates. The Michigan product is logging 19.3 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game. Poole has a nice stroke from deep and is shooting 39 percent from 3-point land.
Forward Draymond Green is an all-around weapon. Green is a high-level defender who can guard any position on the court. The four-time All-Star posses high basketball IQ with maximum effort and leadership. The Michigan State product leads the team in rebounds (7.2), assists (6.6) and blocks (1.2), while averaging 7.8 points per game. In his last contest, Green stuffed the stat sheet with 14 points, 15 rebounds, and eight assists.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas continues to be underrated in the betting market, despite being led by the top scorer in this year's NBA playoffs. Luka Doncic is averaging 31.5 points per game, including 32.6 per game in the series win over Phoenix. He outscored Golden State's Steph Curry in all four regular-season meetings, leading his team to a trio of wins.
The Mavericks have also ratcheted up their defensive intensity, holding opponents to 101 points or fewer in seven of their last 10 outings. Their strong defense allows the Mavericks to perform very well as underdogs, covering the spread at an 18-9 clip in their last 27 such games. Golden State has more experience, but these are the most points that Dallas has been spotted against the Warriors in more than three years.
How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 215 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in nearly 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.