The Sacramento Kings hit the road to face the Brooklyn Nets on Monday evening. The Kings are 22-36 overall and 7-19 on the road this season, while the Nets are 29-27, though Brooklyn is on the NBA's longest losing streak with 11 consecutive defeats. Kevin Durant (knee), Ben Simmons (reconditioning), Kyrie Irving (ineligible), and Joe Harris (ankle) are out for Brooklyn, with James Johnson (knee) listed as questionable. Jeremy Lamb (ankle) is questionable for Sacramento, with Terence Davis (wrist) ruled out.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Sacramento as a two-point road favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 228.5 in the latest Kings vs. Nets odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Kings vs. Nets match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 67-39 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Kings, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Kings vs. Nets:
- Nets vs. Kings spread: Kings -2
- Nets vs. Kings over-under: 228.5 points
- Nets vs. Kings money line: Kings -130, Nets +110
- Sacramento: The Kings are 11-15 against the spread in road games
- Brooklyn: The Nets are 5-20-1 against the spread in home games
Why the Kings can cover
The Kings are playing better basketball lately, winning the last two games after acquiring Domantas Sabonis. Sacramento scored more than 1.27 points per possession in those wins, and the Kings have highly effective metrics for the full season. The Kings are No. 6 in the NBA in free-throw creation, generating 22.4 attempts per game, and Sacramento is also in the top five in averaging 49.1 points in the paint per game.
Sacramento also secures 27.5 percent of available offensive rebounds, and that leads to a top-10 mark with 14.0 second-chance points per game. The Nets are in the bottom 10 of the NBA in defensive rating this season, and Brooklyn is allowing almost 1.19 points per possession since Jan. 1. The Nets are in the bottom eight of the NBA in defensive rebound rate, turnover creation rate, and steal rate, with the Kings landing above the NBA average in free-throw prevention on defense.
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn's offense is potent on its own, and the Nets have a favorable matchup against the Kings. Sacramento is No. 29 in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up more than 1.14 points per possession. The Kings are also No. 28 in the league in field goal percentage allowed, and Sacramento is dead-last in the NBA in both points allowed in the paint and second-chance points allowed.
Brooklyn is scoring more than 1.11 points per possession, ranking above the NBA average in offensive efficiency. That includes top-five marks in field goal percentage (46.8 percent) and free throw percentage (81.0 percent), and the Nets rank in the top 10 of the league in assists (25.0 per game). Brooklyn produces 1.81 assists for every turnover while assisting on more than 60 percent of field goals. The Nets are also in the top 10 of the NBA in fast break points, producing 12.9 per game.
How to make Kings vs. Nets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 223 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Kings? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.