The Dallas Mavericks look to close out their 2024 NBA playoffs series at home against the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 6 on Friday. Dallas is looking to advance to the second round for the first time since the 2021-22 season. Meanwhile, Los Angeles will be fighting to force a Game 7 and head back to Arena. In Game 5, Dallas cooked the Clippers 123-93. Kawhi Leonard (knee) is out for Los Angeles, with Terance Mann (leg) questionable. Tim Hardaway Jr. (ankle) has been ruled out for for Dallas. 

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavs are 8-point favorites in the latest Clippers vs. Mavericks odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 208. Before making any Mavericks vs. Clippers picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 92-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Mavs and just locked in its NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Clippers:

  • Clippers vs. Mavericks spread: Dallas -8
  • Clippers vs. Mavericks over/under: 208 points  
  • Clippers vs. Mavericks money line: Dallas -346, Los Angeles +278
  • LAC: The Clippers are 40-47 against the spread this season.
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 51-36 against the spread this season. 
  • Clippers vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Mavericks can cover

Forward PJ Washington has made his presence felt on both sides of the floor. Washington has a massive 7-foot-3 wingspan to shoot right over defenders and be a disruptive force on the other end. The 25-year-old is averaging 10.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks in the postseason. He's scored in double figures in four of the last five games, including in Game 3 when Washington had 10 points, five rebounds, and three steals.

Forward Derrick Jones Jr. is a smooth role player who thrives at cutting to the rim with the bounce to rise above the rack. The UNLV product likes to get out in transition and is active on defense. He's putting up 9.4 points, 4.2 boards, and 1.6 blocks in the 2024 NBA playoffs. Jones Jr. dropped 12 points, three rebounds, and three blocks in his last game. See which team to pick here.

Why the Clippers can cover

Guard James Harden has been the Clippers' best player all series long. Harden is using his great court vision to lead Los Angeles. The 10-time All-Star can score anywhere on the floor. He leads the team in scoring (22.2) and assists (7). He's also shooting 43.9% from beyond the arc. In Game 4, Harden had 33 points, six boards and seven assists.

Forward Paul George has the ability to take over on both ends. George has quick feet in combination with the length to disrupt opposing offensive players. The 33-year-old can create his own shot with ease. He averages 19.8 points, six rebounds and 4.8 assists per matchup. On April 28, George tallied 33 points, six rebounds and eight dimes. See which team to pick here.

How to make Clippers vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 220 points. The model also says one side hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Clippers vs. Mavericks, and which side hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Clippers spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 92-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.