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We've got another exciting Eastern Conference matchup on the schedule as the Detroit Pistons and Miami Heat are set to tip at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday at the Kaseya Center. Miami is 34-26 overall and 16-13 at home, while Detroit is 9-51 overall and 5-26 on the road. The Heat have dominated this series in recent years, winning eight of their last 10 meetings against the Pistons. 

This time around, the Heat are favored by 11.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Pistons odds, and the over/under is 217 points. Before entering any Pistons vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 64-40 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Detroit vs. Miami. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

  • Heat vs. Pistons spread: Heat -11.5
  • Heat vs. Pistons over/under: 217 points
  • Heat vs. Pistons money line: Heat: -649, Pistons: +468
  • Heat vs. Pistons picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Pistons

It's hard to win when your shooting is a whole 21.4% worse than the opposition, a fact the Pistons found out the hard way on Sunday. The Pistons found themselves the reluctant recipients of a 113-91 punch to the gut against the Orlando Magic. The defeat unfortunately continues a disappointing trend for the Pistons in their matchups with the Magic: they've now lost six in a row.

The Pistons have also lost eight of their last nine games overall. Despite their struggles, the Pistons have been profitable against the Heat in recent years. In fact, Detroit is 7-1 against the spread in its last eight games against Miami. 

What you need to know about the Heat

Meanwhile, even if it wasn't a dominant performance, Miami beat the Utah Jazz 126-120 on Saturday. It was another big night for Jimmy Butler, who scored 37 points to go along with seven assists. That's the most points he has scored all season. The team also got some help courtesy of Bam Adebayo, who finished with 23 points and seven rebounds.

The Heat have now won six of their last seven games and they're 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 contests. Miami is also 5-0 against the spread in its last five games against an opponent from the Eastern Conference. 

How to make Heat vs. Pistons picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Pistons 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Pistons vs. Heat, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that's on a sizzling 64-40 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.