The Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks square off in a rematch of the 2021 NBA Finals on Sunday afternoon. Fiserv Forum hosts the matchup in a matinee timeslot, with the Bucks entering on a 13-game winning streak. Milwaukee is 42-17 overall and 25-5 at home, with Phoenix bringing a 33-28 record after six wins in the last eight games. Giannis Antetokounmpo (quad) is listed as doubtful for the Bucks, with Wesley Matthews (calf) ruled out. Kevin Durant (knee) and Landry Shamet (foot) are out for the Suns.
Tip-off is at 1 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bucks as 3-point home favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 230.5 in the latest Suns vs. Bucks odds. Before you make any Bucks vs. Suns picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model exits the NBA All-Star break on a stunning 55-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Bucks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Suns:
- Suns vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -3
- Suns vs. Bucks over/under: 230.5 points
- Suns vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -165, Suns +140
- PHX: The Suns are 15-15 against the spread in road games
- MIL: The Bucks are 19-11 against the spread in home games
- Suns vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Suns can cover
The Suns are impressive on both ends of the floor. Phoenix ranks in the top eight of the NBA in defensive efficiency, allowing only 1.12 points per possession. The Suns are in the top six of the league in field goal percentage allowed (46.7%), 2-point percentage allowed (52.9%), assists allowed (23.6 per game), and fast break points allowed (12.8 per game), and Phoenix should benefit from Milwaukee's poor free throw shooting. The Bucks make only 73.9% of free throw attempts, second-worst in the league.
On the offensive end, Phoenix is excellent in moving and sharing the ball, ranking in the top five of the NBA in assists, assist percentage, and assist-to-turnover ratio. The Suns also produce 15.1 second-chance points per game while securing 31% of missed shots on the offensive glass. With Phoenix also shooting 37.8% from 3-point range and 79.3% at the free throw line, the Suns are difficult to stop.
Why the Bucks can cover
Milwaukee is the best defensive team in the NBA this season, giving up only 109.3 points per 100 possessions to opponents. The Bucks allow only 45.2% shooting from the field, No. 2 in the NBA, and that includes top-three marks in 2-point percentage allowed (51.4%) and 3-point percentage allowed (34.3%). Milwaukee is excellent on the defensive glass, securing 75.0% of missed shots by opponents, and the Bucks are in the top three of the league in free throw attempts allowed (21.2 per game) and assists allowed (22.8 per game).
Phoenix is dead-last in the NBA in 2-point accuracy (51.4%) on offense, and the Suns are No. 27 in the league in free throw attempts (21.7 per game). On offense, the Bucks have star power and the ability to threaten from 3-point distance, as Milwaukee buries 14.5 3-pointers per game. Milwaukee also makes gains on the offensive glass, securing 29.3% of missed shots and producing 15.1 second-chance points per game.
How to make Bucks vs. Suns picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 233 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
