Following a home win on Sunday evening, the Sacramento Kings visit the Golden State Warriors on Monday. The Kings are 13-18 overall and 6-9 on the road, with the Warriors boasting an impressive 14-2 home record and a 24-6 overall mark. Sacramento will be without De'Aaron Fox (protocols), Davion Mitchell (protocols), Alex Len (protocols), and Richaun Holmes (eye). Andrew Wiggins (protocols), Jordan Poole (protocols), Klay Thompson (Achilles) and James Wiseman (knee) are out for Golden State.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 12-point home favorite for this 10 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 221.5 in the latest Kings vs. Warriors odds. Before finalizing any Warriors vs. Kings picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 44-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Kings, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Kings spread: Warriors -12
- Warriors vs. Kings over-under: 221.5 points
- Warriors vs. Kings money line: Warriors -800, Kings +550
- Sacramento: The Kings are 7-8 against the spread in road games
- Golden State: The Warriors are 11-4-1 against the spread in home games
Why the Kings can cover
The Kings can take confidence in their offense in this matchup. Sacramento is in the top 10 of the NBA in offensive rating, scoring approximately 1.1 points per possession. The Kings are tremendous on the offensive glass, securing 28.6 percent of available rebounds, and Sacramento is No. 4 in the NBA in second-chance points with 14.8 per game. The Kings also do quality work at the free-throw line, generating 23.0 attempts per game, and Sacramento helps to win the possession battle by committing a turnover on only 14.0 percent of possessions.
Golden State turns the ball over on 16.0 percent of possessions offensively, the second-worst mark in the NBA, and that could swing the action toward the Kings. Sacramento is also in the top ten of the NBA in fast-break points (13.1 per game) and points in the paint (50.6 per game), with the defense allowing only 11.9 3-pointers per game.
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State's offense is rolling this season. The Warriors are scoring 111.7 points per 100 possessions, No. 4 in the NBA, and perimeter shooting is a big reason for that success. Golden State is making 36.2 percent of 3-point attempts as a team, and Stephen Curry is averaging 27.0 points and 5.4 3-pointers per contest. The Warriors are also leading the NBA in assists (28.0 per game) and assist percentage (69.2 percent), with the No. 2 mark in the league in 2-point shooting at 56.6 percent.
Golden State pushes the pace, averaging 15.0 fast-break points per game, and the Warriors are securing nearly 28 percent of rebounds on the offensive glass. With that offense potency and the league's No. 1 defense, Golden State is a complete team with few vulnerabilities.
How to make Kings vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 214 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Kings? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.