Through the first seven weeks of the 2023 NFL schedule, teams are averaging just 21.7 points per game. That's the lowest at this point of the season since 2010 and a stat to keep in mind when it comes to making any NFL bets or Week 8 NFL parlay picks. Backing the under has been profitable this season, as 19 teams have winning under records compared to just eight having winning over records. The lowest total in the Week 8 NFL odds is Falcons vs. Titans, which has an over/under of 35.
The Under is a combined 11-2 for these teams, with both having convincing NFL betting trends to again back the under. Atlanta has seen the under hit in its last five games, while Tennessee will be without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Before you make any Week 8 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 173-122 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 27-14 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 8. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 8 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 8 NFL picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Kansas City Chiefs (-7) to cover on the road against the Denver Broncos. No team has a better against-the-spread record than the Chiefs at 5-2, while only the winless Panthers (0-5-1) have a worse spread record than the Broncos at 1-5-1. You also can't bring up Chiefs vs. Broncos without acknowledging that Denver hasn't defeated Kansas City since Peyton Manning was under center in 2015, with Kansas City winning the last 16 matchups.
The model projects Patrick Mahomes to finish with nearly 300 passing yards, while his counterpart, Russell Wilson, is expected to fall short of 200. Also, there is a drastic difference in skill position players since both Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice are projected to have more yards than any Broncos receiver.
With Denver sporting just a 2-16 record versus the AFC West over the last 18 games, just about every factor is in Kansas City's favor. SportsLine's model has the Chiefs covering in well over 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make Week 8 NFL parlays
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including backing several favorites that win with plenty of points to spare. You can only see the model's NFL Week 8 best bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top Week 8 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 8 NFL best bets from a model on a 173-122 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
