NCAA Basketball: Maryland vs Illinois
Dennis Schneidler / USA TODAY Sports

The Monday college basketball schedule tips at noon ET when the Sam Houston State Bearkats travel to take on the LSU Tigers. The Tigers are 3-1 on the season and are coming off back-to-back blowout wins over in-state competition. Sam Houston State is 3-3, but has lost all three games against Division I competition by at least 30 points. 

William Hill Sportsbook lists the Tigers as 26.5-point favorites in the latest LSU vs. Sam Houston State odds, up two points from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 154. Before entering any Sam Houston State vs. LSU picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It's also off to a fast start in the 2020-21 season, going 5-1 on all its top-rated picks and returning over $400. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on LSU vs. Sam Houston State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for LSU vs. Sam Houston State:

  • LSU vs. Sam Houston State spread: LSU -26.5
  • LSU vs. Sam Houston State over-under: 154 points

What you need to know about LSU 

The Tigers split their opening two games of the season, beating SIUE and then falling to Saint Louis. They failed to cover in either of those matchups. But they've won two straight by large margins and covered in both. They covered as 27.5-point favorites against SE Louisiana on Nov. 30 in a 96-43 win and then easily covered -9.5 in an 86-55 win over Louisiana Tech on Dec. 6. The Tigers also had a game against South Florida cancelled.

Freshman guard Cameron Thomas is leading the way with 22.3 points per game, while Trendon Watford is averaging 18.8 ppg and 6.3 rpg. LSU's defense has been tough the past two games, giving up just 49 points per game during that span. 

What you need to know about Sam Houston State

The Bearkats play in the Southland Conference, and after an 18-13 campaign last year, they've struggled against Division I competition this year. SMU, Texas Tech and Boise State all recorded blowout victories against them and covered the spread. 

Sam Houston State, however, has bounced back against three teams outside of Division I and recorded a trio of lopsided wins to perhaps build some confidence heading into this matchup. The Bearkats scored over 100 points in all three of those victories. Zach Nutall leads the team in points (22.5) and rebounds (5.2).

How to make LSU vs. Sam Houston State picks

The model has simulated LSU vs. Sam Houston State 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning over on the total and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Sam Houston State vs. LSU? And which side of the spread is hitting in well over 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks