The No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels will try to maintain their unbeaten start to the season when they face the Iowa State Cyclones in the 2022 Phil Knight Invitational on Friday afternoon at 5:30 p.m. ET. UNC advanced to the semifinals with its 89-81 win over Portland on Thursday. Iowa State came up with an 81-79 win in overtime against Villanova in its semifinal matchup.
The Tar Heels are favored by 5 points in the latest North Carolina vs. Iowa State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 141.5. Before entering any Iowa State vs. North Carolina picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated more than $1,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
- North Carolina vs. Iowa State spread: North Carolina -5
- North Carolina vs. Iowa State over/under: 141.5 points
- North Carolina vs. Iowa State money line: North Carolina -250, Iowa State +205
- North Carolina vs. Iowa State picks: See picks here
Why North Carolina can cover
North Carolina trailed by five points in the second half of its game against Portland on Thursday, but the Tar Heels used a late run to pick up an 89-81 win. Northwestern transfer Pete Nance tied his career-best with 28 points, knocking down five 3-pointers. North Carolina shot 50% from beyond the arc as a team, and Armando Bacot had a double-double with 11 points and 13 rebounds.
Guard Caleb Love had a nice day as well, scoring 23 points in the win. Iowa State is coming off a tough overtime win over Villanova on Thursday, which could lead to a hangover effect on Friday. North Carolina will be the first ranked team that the Cyclones have faced this season.
Why Iowa State can cover
Iowa State is now riding an 11-game winning streak in the month of November, and it is coming off an impressive upset win against Villanova. The Cyclones have four players averaging double figures in scoring, led by Jaren Holmes with 16.8 points per game. Gabe Kalscheur poured in 23 points against Villanova, hitting five 3-pointers to account for a large portion of the team's 37 bench points.
North Carolina has not proven itself so far this season, struggling with multiple inferior opponents. The Tar Heels have only covered the spread once in their first five games, and this will be their first matchup against a power conference team. Iowa State has covered the number in five of its last seven contests, giving the Cyclones an edge from a betting perspective heading into this game.
How to make Iowa State vs. North Carolina picks
The model has simulated North Carolina vs. Iowa State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Iowa State vs. North Carolina? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the North Carolina vs. Iowa State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $1,400 on its college basketball picks the last six years, and find out.