I'm not sure I can ever remember having this much trouble building a cash lineup. Why? Probably because 80 percent of what happened in Week 2 contradicted what happened in Week 1. What's worse is that most of the rest contradicted what we thought in August.
I do know I want Tom Brady ($8,700), Marshawn Lynch ($8,700), Rob Gronkowski ($8,400), Julian Edelman ($7,700) and the Seahawks D ($5,300). Of course, if you play all of them you're going to have a difficult time piecing together the rest of your lineup.
I'll finish this article as usual with my cash lineup, but first let's look at some lower owned plays from Thursday who I want exposure to in my tournament lineup.
It looks like Brady is going to be owned in more than 25 percent of contests, which will likely keep everyone else below 10 percent. Nick Foles ($6,500, 2.3 percent) is my favorite play that was under five percent owned. Foles should have a lot of attempts against a bad Steelers secondary. Ryan Mallett ($6,300, 0.6 percent) is a bigger reach, but if DeAndre Hopkins plays, I will definitely have some exposure.
Want to start a more sure thing? Aaron Rodgers ($9,100) was just south of five percent ownership. The Chiefs have been pretty awful against the pass outside of Marcus Peters, and the Packers are one of my favorite stacks.
I was shocked to see that Marshawn Lynch ($8,700) was the seventh highest owned back at 8.3 percent. That's less than half of the ownership of Le'Veon Bell ($8,800) and Dion Lewis ($6,700). Lynch has a better matchup than both of those backs and as much upside as anyone this week.
Danny Woodhead ($6,400) and Jonathan Stewart ($6,500) have similar prospects on Sunday. Imagine my surprise when I saw Woodhead at 16.6 percent and Stewart a 2.6. That makes Stewart very enticing to me in tournaments. Isaiah Crowell ($6,600) is in a similar price range and is also south of three percent.
It was no surprise to see Julian Edelman ($7,700) at 33 percent. I'm still not sure I can totally fade him. I will say that if DeAndre Hopkins ($7,800) is active, he'll be very enticing at 2.1 percent. Hopkins has a huge upside in a good matchup, just like Edelman.
My other favorite receivers below three percent are A.J. Green ($8,000), Kendall Wright ($5,900) and either Kenny Britt ($5,400) or Tavon Austin ($5,300). Austin and Britt are lottery tickets who could play off huge if my Foles hunch is correct.
The Patriots domination continued with Rob Gronkowski ($8,400) at 25.2 percent. There was no other tight end above 10 percent, but I was intrigued by Jimmy Graham ($6,300) at 6.8 percent. Graham should get fed in the red zone against a defense that is reeling.
I also like Jared Cook ($5,400) at 2.1 percent. Cook leads the team in targets and receptions, and should feast on the Steelers in a good game script.
QB Tom Brady $8,700 NE vs. JAC
RB Marshawn Lynch $8,700 SEA vs. CHI
RB Jonathan Stewart $6,500 CAR vs. NO
WR Julian Edelman $7,700 NE vs. JAC
WR Donte Moncrief $6,000 IND @ TEN
WR John Brown $6,000 ARI vs. SF
TE Jimmy Graham $6,300 SEA vs. CHI
K Chandler Catanzaro $4,700 ARI vs. SF
D Seattle Seahawks $5,300 vs. CHI