A berth in the World Series is on the line on Tuesday when the Arizona Diamondbacks battle the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 7 of the 2023 National League Championship Series. Arizona defeated Philadelphia 5-1 on Monday to knot the series at 3-3. The Diamondbacks (84-78), making just their second postseason appearance since 2017, are making their seventh playoff appearance since entering the league in 1998. They won the 2001 World Series in seven games over the New York Yankees. The Phillies (90-72), who are making their second consecutive playoff appearance after reaching the World Series last year, are looking to reach their ninth-ever World Series. They last won it all in 2008.
The game from Citizens Bank Field in Philadelphia is scheduled to start at 8:07 p.m. ET. The Phillies have MLB's third-best batting average in the postseason at .258, while the Diamondbacks are sixth at .240. Philadelphia is the -169 favorite (risk $169 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total runs scored is 8.5. Before locking in any Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies:
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks money line: Arizona +144, Philadelphia -169
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks over/under: 8.5 runs
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+122)
- AZ: The Diamondbacks are 47-42 on the road this season, including the postseason
- PHI: The Phillies are 55-34 on their home field in 2023
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Phillies
Ranger Suarez (1-0, 0.64 postseason ERA) will be on the hill for Philadelphia and he'll be backed by a lineup that's been red-hot in the 2023 MLB playoffs. Designated hitter Kyle Schwarber has been red hot in the series, with seven hits in the series, including five home runs. He is hitting .368 in the series and has hits in seven of 11 postseason games, including a 2-for-3 performance with three runs scored, two homers and two RBI in Philadelphia's 10-0 win in Game 2 on Tuesday. He homered and was 2-for-4 in Game 5. Throughout his career, Schwarber has come through when the lights are brightest, smashing 20 postseason home runs in 62 career playoff games, including 11 in 29 games with the Phillies over the past two years. During the regular season, he hit just .197, but registered 47 home runs, 104 RBI and 108 runs scored.
Third baseman Alec Bohm was a bright spot in the 5-1 Game 6 loss, going 2-for-4. He is 6-for-22 (.273) in the series with a double and three RBI. He was 2-for-4 with an RBI in the 6-5 loss in Game 4 at Arizona. In 145 regular season games, Bohm hit .274 with 31 doubles, 20 homers, 97 RBI and 74 runs scored. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 2.13 postseason ERA) is expected to get the start for Arizona. After a somewhat disappointing regular season, which saw him go 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA in 19 games, including 18 starts, he closed the regular season on a high note. He won two of his last three decisions, including a 3-0 win over the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 27. He then struggled in an Oct. 3 Wild Card game, going 2 2/3 innings in a 6-3 win over Milwaukee, allowing seven hits and three earned runs. He has been lights out since. He allowed just two hits and struck out two in a 4-2 NLDS win over the Dodgers on Oct. 11, pitching 4 1/3 innings. In a 2-1 win over the Phillies on Thursday, he allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings, walking none and striking out nine.
Right fielder Corbin Carroll has been a bright spot on offense for the Diamondbacks, hitting .250 in 11 postseason games. He has hits in seven of those games, including multiple hits in three. Carroll has blasted a pair of home runs, including one in a 2-for-5 performance in an 11-2 win over the Dodgers in Game 1 of the NLDS. During the regular season, he played in 155 games, batting .285 with 30 doubles, 10 triples, 25 homers, 76 RBI and 116 runs scored. See which team to back here.
How to make Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting nine combined runs. It also says one side on the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Phillies vs. Diamondbacks, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 93-74 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.
