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The Memphis Grizzlies put together a tremendous 2021-22 season, winning 56 games and earning the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. That earned Memphis home-court advantage against the Golden State Warriors in the second round of the 2022 NBA playoffs. However, the Grizzlies fell short in Game 1 at home on Sunday, setting up an urgent scenario for Game 2 on Tuesday. The Warriors are favored by two points in Game 2, with an over-under total of 227.5 points in that 9:30 p.m. ET start.

Before the tip in Memphis, the Boston Celtics host the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 2 at TD Garden at 7 p.m. ET. Boston lost at home on Sunday, failing to reach triple-figures in scoring. The Celtics aim to even the series in the follow-up, with Boston favored by 4.5 points and an over-under total of 215 points in Game 2. Before locking in any NBA picks or parlays, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tuesday's NBA playoff schedule and just revealed its best bets. If you parlay the model's NBA playoff picks, you could be looking at a payout of over 12-1. You can only see the model's NBA picks at SportsLine.

Top NBA picks for Tuesday, May 3

One pick the model recommends for Tuesday's NBA playoff slate is under 227.5 points in the matchup between the Grizzlies and Warriors. In fact, the model projects it to cover in nearly 60 percent of simulations. Both teams boast elite-level defenses, and that is especially true of the Warriors.

Golden State finished No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rating during the regular season, giving up only 106.6 points per 100 possessions and 105.5 points per game. Opponents shot only 43.8 percent from the field and 33.9 percent from 3-point range against the Warriors, with Golden State ranking No. 2 in assists allowed at 22.9 per game. The Warriors are also tremendous in defensive rebounding and turnover creation, with Golden State also rejecting 6.2 shots per game in the postseason. 

In addition to Golden State's success, Memphis is near the top of the NBA playoffs in defensive efficiency, and no team has forced more turnovers per game (17.70 than the Grizzlies in the postseason. Memphis can also take solace in Golden State shooting less than 70 percent at the free throw line in the playoffs, and both teams are adept at controlling the defensive glass, limiting second-chance points.

Featured Game | Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors

How to make NBA picks and parlays for Tuesday

The model also has identified three other extremely confident picks that need to be in your NBA parlays, including one pick that hits well over 70 percent of the time, returning plenty of value. You can only see the model's NBA parlay picks and best bets at SportsLine.

What are the top NBA picks for Tuesday? And which pick can you bank on well over 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the NBA best bets for Tuesday, all from the model that is on a roll on all top-rated NBA picks, and find out.