The Atlanta Hawks visit Wells Fargo Center to face the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. The Sixers are 16-15 this season, while the Hawks enter at 14-16 in 2021-22. The injury report is unofficial for the Hawks on the second night of a back-to-back, though Trae Young (protocols), Kevin Huerter (protocols), Clint Capela (protocols), Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (protocols), Lou Williams (protocols), Danilo Gallinari (protocols) and De'Andre Hunter (wrist) missed the team's game on Wednesday. Andre Drummond (protocols), Georges Niang (protocols), Danny Green (protocols), Shake Milton (protocols) and Ben Simmons (personal) are out for the 76ers.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as a 10.5-point home favorite for this 7 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 208.5 in the latest Hawks vs. 76ers odds. Before making any 76ers vs. Hawks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 46-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $1,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Hawks and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Hawks vs. Sixers:
- Hawks vs. 76ers spread: 76ers -10.5
- Hawks vs. 76ers over-under: 205.5 points
- Hawks vs. 76ers money line: 76ers -650, Hawks +450
- ATL: The Hawks are 5-9 against the spread in road games
- PHI: The 76ers are 4-9 against the spread in home games
Why the Hawks can cover
Atlanta's offense is stellar this season, and that is evident in its overall efficiency. The Hawks are scoring 112.5 points per 100 possessions, the third-best mark in the NBA. Atlanta also leads the league in 3-point shooting, converting 38.0 percent of attempts, and the Hawks land inside the top 10 of the NBA in field goal shooting at 46.3 percent. Atlanta's ball security provides an edge, with only 12.5 turnovers per game, and the Hawks are making 80.8 percent of free-throw attempts while generating those trips to the charity stripe at an above-average rate.
On defense, the Hawks are great on glass, securing 74.3 percent of available rebounds after forcing a missed shot. That leads to a top-five mark in second-chance points allowed (11.9 per game), and Philadelphia is currently last in the NBA in offensive rebound rate. Finally, the Hawks are No. 6 in the NBA in free-throw prevention, allowing opponents to attempt only 18.3 free-throw attempts per game.
Why the 76ers can cover
Atlanta projects to be missing several key players, giving Philadelphia an edge, even with a shorthanded roster of its own. The Hawks lost at home to Orlando on Wednesday with what projects to be a similar cast of characters, and Atlanta's offense typically craters without Young on the floor. For the Sixers, the presence of Joel Embiid goes a long way. Philadelphia is out-scoring opponents by 4.9 points per 100 possessions with the All-NBA center on the floor this season, and the 76ers are 13-7 in games when Embiid is active. From there, the 76ers benefit from Atlanta's weaknesses, and those shortcomings are stark.
The Hawks are forcing only 12.1 turnovers per game, second-worst in the NBA. Atlanta is also No. 26 in the league in assists allowed, and the Hawks are No. 25 in the NBA in overall defensive efficiency. While the Hawks are generally strong on offense, Atlanta does not push the ball in transition either, with Nate McMillan's team ranking second-worst in the NBA in fast-break points, scoring only 8.5 points per game in transition.
How to make Hawks vs. Sixers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 215 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins 76ers vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
