The Dallas Mavericks and the Memphis Grizzlies will face off in a Southwest Division clash at 9:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday at the FedExForum. Memphis is 27-25 overall and 13-15 at home, while the Mavericks are 29-24 overall and 16-12 on the road. The Mavericks have won and covered six of their last 10 head-to-head matchups with their division rivals.
However, it's been the Grizzlies who have been the far better play this season with a 31-20-1 record against the spread, while the Mavericks are 26-27 against the number. Dallas is favored by 2.5-points in the latest Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 225.5. Before entering any Grizzlies vs. Mavericks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,100 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 17 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 95-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies spread: Mavericks -2.5
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies over-under: 225.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies money line: Mavericks -140, Grizzlies +120
What you need to know about the Grizzlies
The Grizzlies enjoyed a comfortable win against the Chicago Bulls on Monday, taking their game 101-90. It was another big night for Memphis' center Jonas Valanciunas, who posted a double-double with 26 points and 14 boards in addition to three blocks.
Defensively, the Grizzlies forced 17 turnovers and limited the Bulls to an abysmal 5-for-31 performance from the 3-point line. Ja Morant also had a double-double in the win, recording 13 points and 10 assists to help make up for a poor shooting night (5-for-14). Memphis has now covered the spread in 11 of its last 14 games.
What you need to know about the Mavericks
Meanwhile, the matchup between Dallas and the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday was not particularly close, with Dallas falling 113-95. Dallas was down 88-69 at the end of the third quarter, which was just too much to recover from. Dallas' loss came about despite a quality game from point guard Luka Doncic, who had 32 points.
It was Dallas' third loss in the last four games and Kristaps Porzingis sitting out the second night of a back-to-back clearly limited the offensive productivity. The Mavericks turned the ball over 15 times and shot just 42.2 percent from the floor. Porzingis should be back in action on Wednesday, so Dallas will be expecting a more efficient offensive performance.
How to make Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks
The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies spread to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that is on an incredible 95-59 roll.