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The Dallas Mavericks and the Houston Rockets are set to square off in a Southwest Division matchup at 8 p.m. ET Friday at Toyota Center. Houston is 11-28 overall and 7-10 at home, while the Mavericks are 20-18 overall and 10-10 on the road. The Mavericks have won four consecutive games while the Rockets snapped an eight-game losing streak on Wednesday. 

The Mavericks won the first meeting of the season with the Rockets on Oct. 26, 116-106. Dallas is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Rockets vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 215. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Rockets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered Week 12 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 50-27 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Rockets vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Rockets:

  • Rockets vs. Mavericks spread: Rockets +2.5
  • Rockets vs. Mavericks over-under: 215 points
Featured Game | Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks

What you need to know about the Rockets

Houston edged the Washington Wizards 114-111 on Wednesday as Kevin Porter Jr. hit a game-winning three-pointer as time expired. Christian Wood posted a double-double on 22 points and 11 rebounds while Jae'Sean Tate had 13 points and 10 rebounds for his fifth double-double of the season.

Rookie Alperen Sengun (ankle) is out for Friday's game. The Rockets have not lost a season series to the Mavericks since the 2012-13 season. The key for more success from Houston will be its ability to convert from the charity stripe as the Rockets rank first in free throw attempts but last in free throw percentage.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Meanwhile, Dallas strolled past the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday, 99-82, despite the efforts of Luka Doncic who had 26 points, eight assists and seven boards. He is doubtful for Friday's game because of an ankle injury. The Mavs will also be shorthanded with big men as Kristaps Porzingis (ankle), Willie Cauley-Stein (personal) and Boban Marjanovic (protocols) are also out for Friday's game. 

Dorian Finney-Smith scored 15 of his 17 points in the second half on Wednesday and he also had nine rebounds. Jalen Brunson finished with 15 points and he will be expected to contribute even more if Doncic can't suit up. The Mavs are 15-9 when Doncic plays but just 5-9 when he doesn't see the floor.

How to make Rockets vs. Mavericks picks

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Rockets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Rockets vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Rockets spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.