The Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves collide in Game 4 of their first-round series in the 2023 NBA playoffs on Sunday night. Denver is coming off a 120-111 victory on Friday. The Nuggets are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on one days rest.
Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minnesota. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Nuggets as a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds, while the over/under for total points is 222.5. Before making any Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-37 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves spread: Denver -4.5
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves over/under: 222.5 points
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves money line: Denver -180, Minnesota +152
- MIN: The Timberwolves are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 Sunday games
- DEN: The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Nuggets can cover
Center Nikola Jokic is able to impact the game in a variety of different areas. Jokic is relentless in the paint as a rebounder and does an exceptional job as a facilitator. The five-time All-Star also creates his own offense with ease. Jokic leads the team in rebounds (11.8) and assists (9.8), while averaging 24.5 points per game. In Game 3, he totaled 20 points, 11 rebounds, and 12 assists.
Forward Michael Porter Jr. has been a consistent scorer on the court. Porter Jr. has the skill set to get a bucket from any level but thrives in transition. The Missouri product is third on the team in scoring in the 2023 NBA playoffs, averaging 19.7 points per game. In Friday's win, Porter had 25 points and nine boards. See which side to back at SportsLine.
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Center Karl-Anthony Towns is a dominant force in the frontcourt. Towns has the skill set to attack defenders in many different ways. The Kentucky product uses his jumper to stretch the defense and has sound court vision. Towns is averaging 16 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game in the postseason. In his last outing, he finished with 27 points and seven boards.
Guard Mike Conley does a great job setting up his teammates. Conley has a quick first step to get past defenders and owns a secure jumper on the outside. The Ohio State product is averaging 11.3 points, 2.3 rebounds, and five assists through the first three games of this series. In Game 3, Conley finished with 12 points and five assists. See which side to back at SportsLine.
How to make Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can see the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is 71-37 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
