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The Buffalo Bills (9-6) postseason playoff chances drastically change based on their result against the New England Patriots (4-11) in an AFC East battle in Week 17 on CBS and Paramount+. With a win on Sunday, the Bills playoff odds improve to 97%, whereas a loss drops them to 46% odds to make the postseason. The Patriots' poor overall record would indicate an easy afternoon for Buffalo, but New England has won two of its last three games, despite being the road underdog in both victories. You can stream the game in select markets on Paramount+, which you can now try free for the first 30 days when you use the promo code STREAMNFL (expires 12/31/23).

Kickoff from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., is at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. The Bills are 14-point favorites in the latest Patriots vs. Bills odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Sunday's matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan, which you can now try free for 30 days with the promo code STREAMNFL.

Paramount+ is the only place to watch every minute of every NFL on CBS game this season. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including the UEFA Champions League and Europa League, NWSL, Serie A, and countless movies and shows. You can get your first 30 days free with the promo code STREAMNFL, so sign up right here.

How to watch Bills vs. Patriots

  • Patriots vs. Bills date: Sunday, Dec. 31
  • Patriots vs. Bills time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Patriots vs. Bills TV channel: CBS 
  • Patriots vs. Bills streaming: Paramount+ (get 30 days free with promo code STREAMNFL)

Week 17 NFL picks for Patriots vs. Bills

Before tuning into Sunday's Bills vs. Patriots game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine's advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

For Patriots vs. Bills, the model is picking New England to cover the spread on the road. The Patriots' offense is performing much better since Bailey Zappe took over at quarterback. After a 6-0 loss to the Chargers in his first start of the season, the 24-year-old is completing 72.8% of his passes for 225.3 yards per game with six touchdowns and two interceptions over his last three starts. 

The Patriots, who have the worst scoring offense in the NFL at 14.1 points per game, are averaging 21.3 ppg over those three starts. Running back Ezekiel Elliott has played a huge role in the offense's success, averaging 82 total yards with seven receptions per game over the last three contests. The Bills have struggled against pass-catching running backs, allowing the fifth-most receiving yards in the NFL to that position this year.

The Patriots are coming off wins in each of their last two road contests, knocking off the Steelers (21-18) and Broncos (26-23) despite being underdogs in both games. New England has performed far better away from home this season, going 3-4 on the road with two of their four losses coming in one-score contests. The Patriots have lost only one road game by more than 14 points this season, one of the reasons why the model projects the Patriots to cover the spread almost 60% of the time. You may be able to stream the game here.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Don't forget you can now try Paramount+ free for the first 30 days with the promo code STREAMNFL.