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The Green Bay Packers will try to snap their five-game losing streak when they face the Dallas Cowboys at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon. Green Bay is coming off a winless three-game road trip, capped off by a 15-9 loss to Detroit last week. Dallas, meanwhile, is on a two-game winning streak following a 49-29 win over Chicago, and the Cowboys are coming off their bye week.

Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Dallas is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Packers vs. Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 44.5. Before entering any Cowboys vs. Packers picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 151-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Packers vs. Cowboys. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Packers vs. Cowboys:

  • Packers vs. Cowboys spread: Packers +3.5
  • Packers vs. Cowboys over/under: 44.5 points
  • Packers vs. Cowboys money line: Green Bay +170, Dallas -205
  • Packers vs. Cowboys picks: See picks here

Why the Packers can cover

Green Bay might be on a five-game losing streak, but it has been within 10 points in four of those games. The Packers also picked up wins over the Bears, Buccaneers and Patriots earlier this season, so they are being disrespected by the betting market. Dallas could have a key member of its offense sidelined on Sunday, as running back Ezekiel Elliott missed the previous game due to a knee injury and is questionable for this one. 

The Packers are also still led by one of the best quarterbacks in NFL history in Aaron Rodgers, who has thrown for more than 2,000 yards and 14 touchdowns this season. Running back Aaron Jones is having a solid campaign as well, averaging 5.6 yards per carry on 107 attempts. The Packers have been very difficult to beat at home, winning 16 of their last 20 games at Lambeau Field. 

Why the Cowboys can cover

The betting market has not made a large enough adjustment to how bad Green Bay is playing right now, as the Packers have only covered the spread once in their last six games. They are dealing with a ton of key injuries, including wide receiver Randall Cobb and outside linebacker Rashan Gary. Cornerback Eric Stokes and wide receiver Romeo Doubs both suffered injuries against the Lions and are not expected to play on Sunday.

Dallas has been trending in the opposite direction, covering the spread in six of its last seven games. The Cowboys have been very profitable away from home over the past two years, covering the spread in 10 of their last 12 road tilts. Quarterback Dak Prescott threw for a season-high 250 yards and two touchdowns in the win against Chicago, while running back Tony Pollard exploded for 131 rushing yards and three scores. 

How to make Packers vs. Cowboys picks

The model has simulated Cowboys vs. Packers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick where one side has all of the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Packers vs. Cowboys? And which side has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Cowboys vs. Packers spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.