The Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles, just one game apart in a jumbled NFC East race, face off at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday Night Football, with the winner getting a massive edge in their quest for a playoff berth. Each team is trying to keep pace with the Cowboys, who sit atop the division at 7-5. Both teams have a negative point differential this season and failed to cover the spread last time out. In the latest Redskins vs. Eagles odds, Philadelphia is favored by six, down a half-point from the open. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 44.5, up one from the opener. The Eagles have won all four Monday Night Football games against the Redskins since 2009, but before backing either side with your own Redskins vs. Eagles picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
SportsLine's proprietary computer model went 176-80 straight up last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and '17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 13 on a blistering 13-2 run. For the season, it is now 27-11 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 75-45. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model went 12-3 last week and is 118-56 for the season, ranking in the top five on NFLPickWatch.com.
Now, the model has simulated Redskins vs. Eagles 10,000 times. We will tell you it's leaning towards the under, but it has also locked in a bold point-spread pick that hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
The model knows Colt McCoy was a mixed bag in his first start since replacing Smith at quarterback. He went 24 of 38 for 268 yards and two touchdowns, but also had three interceptions in a 31-23 Thanksgiving loss at Dallas. He'll face an Eagles defense that has just five picks all season and a secondary decimated by injuries that's allowing nearly 300 yards per game.
But as Adrian Peterson goes, so go the Redskins. In Washington's six victories, the former NFL MVP is averaging 105 rushing yards. In the team's five defeats, that number plummets to 25.8. And the Redskins will likely have pass-catching back Chris Thompson (ribs) in the lineup for the first time since Week 8. The Eagles are allowing 104 yards per game on the ground.
But just because the Redskins can run the football with authority doesn't mean they'll cover the "Monday Night Football" spread.
The model also knows that Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz has begun looking more like he did last season. His passer rating has eclipsed 100 in five of his last six games, and he has 13 touchdowns against just two picks over that span, discounting Philly's 47-3 loss to the Saints two weeks ago.
He has the league's top tight end in Zach Ertz, who has 84 catches for 895 yards. Recently acquired Golden Tate hasn't seen that level of production, but he's getting the targets and will face a Redskins team that's among the league's worst at defending wide receivers. On Thanksgiving Day, Philadelphia was just shredded by Cowboys receiver Amari Cooper for 180 yards and two touchdowns.
Philly's defense has been roughed up by injuries, but the unit still has 28 sacks, with a pair of defensive ends leading the way in Michael Bennett (6.5) and Chris Long (4.5).
Who wins Redskins vs. Eagles? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Monday, all from the computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons, and find out.
