The Tennessee Titans and Washington Redskins, two teams in desperate need to stay alive in the NFL playoff picture, meet up in Nashville at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Tennessee (8-6) likely needs to win out and have help to make the playoffs. Washington (7-7) is in a similar boat, but is down to a fourth-string quarterback and ravaged by injuries. Overall, the Redskins' path to the postseason appears much more challenging. Vegas agrees, setting Tennessee as an 11-point favorite in the latest Redskins vs. Titans odds, up from an open of 10. The over-under, or total number of points oddsmakers believe will be scored, is 37.5 after opening at 37. The weather won't be a factor, as the forecast is calling for temperatures in the 40s, sunny skies, and light winds. Before making any Redskins vs. Titans picks and predictions for this critical battle, be sure to check out the projections from SportsLine's Projection Model.
The advanced computer model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. SportsLine's proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and '17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 16 on a blistering 16-6 run. For the season, it is now 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model finished Week 14 at 147-75 on the season, ranking in the top five on NFLPickWatch.com.
Now the model has dialed in on Redskins vs. Titans (stream live on fuboTV) 10,000 times. We can tell you the model is leaning Over, but it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that one over at SportsLine.
The model knows the Redskins will once again be looking to ride their running game given their calamitous quarterback situation with Josh Johnson as their fourth starting QB of the year. Johnson was able to use his legs to extend drives last week against Jacksonville, rushing for 49 yards, and Adrian Peterson added 51 more in a win over the Jaguars.
That victory as 7.5-point underdogs helped get the Redskins back to .500 and keeps their playoff hopes intact at 7-7. Against a Titans defense that has allowed 408 yards rushing in the last two weeks, Peterson, Johnson and Chris Thompson should have room to maneuver in Week 16.
Just because the Redskins are coming off a huge upset victory doesn't mean they'll cover on Saturday.
The model also knows the Titans are feeling extremely confident thanks to the recent breakout performances by running back Derrick Henry. His 2018 campaign looked like a bust when he entered Week 14 with just 474 yards and five touchdowns on the season, but he's exploded since that point, steamrolling the Jaguars for 238 yards and four touchdowns and then following that up with 170 yards and two more scores against the Giants.
His dominance has paid dividends for the entire roster, taking pressure off quarterback Marcus Mariota and keeping Tennessee's defense fresh and off the field. The Titans have given up just nine total points in the last two weeks and dominated time of possession against New York, 35:21 to 24:39.
Who wins Redskins vs. Titans? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to be all over on Saturday, all from the incredible computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors.
