The New Orleans Saints will look to continue their home dominance when they host the Minnesota Vikings in an NFC Wild-Card matchup on Sunday. The Saints have won 13 of their last 17 home games and are 6-1 in their last seven home playoff games since 2006. In addition, the Saints have been successful covering against NFC North opponents. In fact, New Orleans is 5-1 against the number in its last six games against teams from the rugged NFC North. Kickoff is at 1:05 p.m ET at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in the first game on Sunday in the 2020 NFL Playoffs.

New Orleans is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Saints vs. Vikings odds, while the over-under is 49.5 after the total opened at 47. Before making any Vikings vs. Saints picks of your own, you should check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four-plus years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 17 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 33-22 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 95-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has set its sights on Saints vs. Vikings. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated an against the spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see it. Now, here are the NFL lines and trends for Vikings vs. Saints:

  • Saints vs. Vikings spread: New Orleans -7.5
  • Saints vs. Vikings over-under: 49.5
  • Saints vs. Vikings money line: New Orleans -409, Minnesota +322
  • Saints: WR Michael Thomas had at least 89 receiving yards in 13 games.
  • Vikings: DE Danielle Hunter has six sacks over the past four games.

Why the Saints can cover

The model has taken into account that the Saints feature one of the league's most potent scoring offenses. In fact, the Saints finished the regular season with the third-ranked scoring offense, averaging a robust 28.6 points per game. Quarterback Drew Brees has been sensational at home this season, completing 77.5 percent of his passes for 1,997 yards and 17 touchdowns. Wide receiver Michael Thomas, who had 149 catches in the regular season to set an NFL record, has also done most of his damage at home this season. In fact, the 26-year-old recorded 87 receptions for 1,027 yards and six touchdowns at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

Additionally, the Saints have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings against Minnesota. And despite starting on Wild Card weekend, the Saints are still 5-1 to win it all this season, according to the latest 2020 Super Bowl odds.

Why the Vikings can cover

New Orleans has the firepower to put up points, but that doesn't mean it will cover the Vikings vs. Saints spread on Sunday in the 2020 NFL Playoffs. The Vikings are 5-0 against the spread after a loss, and they lost to Green Bay and Chicago to close the regular season. Their defense is sixth in the league in allowing 18.9 points per game, and the unit has 31 takeaways to help Minnesota post a plus-11 turnover margin. Safety Anthony Harris has six interceptions, while Danielle Hunter has forced three fumbles. Hunter also has 14.5 sacks, while fellow defensive end Everson Griffen has eight and Ifeadi Odenigbo has seven. 

Minnesota is 6-4 against the spread this season in non-division games, and Cook (shoulder) has rushed for 1,135 yards and 13 touchdowns despite playing hurt and missing two games. Diggs is the team's leading receiver with 63 catches for 1,130 yards and has developed a rapport with quarterback Kirk Cousins since a Week 4 loss to Chicago caused a rift. Cousins has passed for 3,603 yards and 26 touchdowns, with just six interceptions while completing 69.1 percent of his passes. 

So who wins Vikings vs. Saints? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Vikings vs. Saints spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model that has returned over $7,000 on its top-rated picks.