Many things change in a week, and that's why I put the first-round mock draft back on the shelf.
The Chiefs are solving needs (Alex Smith, Dwayne Bowe and Branden Albert), which leads me to believe a quarterback or an offensive tackle will not be their top pick. If they can’t trade out, then Dee Milliner makes the most sense.
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I have talked with multiple NFL people that feel there will be less movement at the top of the draft and teams just grabbing the guy they wanted all along.
In just the last seven days I have switched close to a dozen of the top 32 players to other teams ... and free agency hasn’t even started yet.
1. Kansas City -- Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama: I put Lane Johnson in this spot last week and got calls from two NFL offensive line coaches that said he’s the No. 2 OT, not the top OT. The Chiefs agreed on a trade for Smith and franchised Albert, which means the Alabama corner creeps up into the top of the draft.
2. Jacksonville -- Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan: The Jaguars may debate Luke Joeckel at this spot, but Fisher seems like the offensive line coaches’ choice. They may debate Sharrif Floyd , the defensive tackle out of Florida.
3. Oakland -- Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida: Richard Seymour isn’t coming back and Tommy Kelly could be gone for cap reasons. Floyd has emerged as the top DT in the draft.
4. Philadelphia -- Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M: The Eagles should take a long hard look at Geno Smith but they will come back around for a guy like EJ Manuel. Todd Herremans told me he’s ready to go back to guard if the team gets a big-time tackle.
5. Detroit -- Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU: "Ziggy" has the best upside of the pass rushing defensive ends, and without Avril or VandenBosch the Lions need Ansah.
6. Cleveland -- Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon: The Browns will look at the two quarterbacks on the board but Norv Turner will convince them Brandon Weeden is good enough, at least until they get to the second or third round.
7. Arizona -- Matt Barkley, QB, USC: I don’t care about what happened with Matt Leinart in Arizona, this team needs a QB in the draft and Barkley has tons of experience in what Bruce Arians wants to do.
8. Buffalo -- Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia: The Bills GM has already said the team needs a QB. Pass on Smith here and the team will never see anyone like him in the second round.
9. New York Jets -- Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU: The Jets have no one that can really rush the passer. Others will be considered for this spot, and it may be Jordan or Jarvis Jones , but I like Mingo, at least today.
10. Tennessee -- Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah: The guy plays sideline to sideline. He is a force on the inside, and the Titans are starving for this kind of player.
11. San Diego -- Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma: Lane should go higher in the draft but the Chargers are fortunate he falls to them at this point. The former QB, DE and TE has elite athletic ability for the position.
12. Miami -- Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee: The Dolphins have the cap room to solve the wide receiver issue in free agency, which eliminates Patterson. For now it’s the Tennessee wide receiver.
13. Tampa Bay -- Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State: No-brainer with this pick: a Florida guy at a position of great need. Rhodes could play safety as well as corner, and the Bucs need help at both spots.
14. Carolina -- Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri: The Panthers need interior defensive line help, and the team is capable of taking the best defensive tackle on the board.
15. New Orleans -- Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia: The Saints are converting to a 3-4 defense and they have "take it or leave it" offers to Will Smith and Jonathan Vilma . At least one guy says leave it, and Jones is in play.
16. St. Louis -- D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama: The Rams need to open up the running lanes and protect Sam Bradford . Fluker may be a left tackle even though some consider him nothing more than a large right tackle.
17. Pittsburgh -- Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas: The Steelers could go in many directions but Vaccaro is the best player on the board and is ready for the big nickel package.
18. Dallas -- Kawann Short, DT, Purdue: The Cowboys are headed to their own version of the 4-3 defense. Some say Jay Ratliff is the new "3" technique but I think Rod Marinelli loves the Purdue kid for the spot.
19. New York Giants -- Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame: There are tight ends in the draft but Eifert is the best of the group and starts opening day.
20. Chicago -- Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama: The Bears need help up front and Warmack is a ready-to-play guy. He can move a DT in the run game and protect the midline, where Cutler likes to throw from.
21. Cincinnati -- Bjoern Werner , DE, Florida State: Too good to be true but his combine performance leaves some doubt as to his upside. Mike Zimmer will use him the same way the Bengals used Justin Smith before he left.
22. St. Louis -- Keenan Allen, WR, California: The Rams got the big offensive tackle six picks ago and now can focus on a weapon for Sam Bradford.
23. Minnesota -- Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington: He is lightening quick, had the best short shuttle at the combine and has been around NFL defensive backs his whole life.
24. Indianapolis -- Daytone Jones, DE, UCLA: The Colts defense needs to catch up to the offense. Jones can play two-gap on the line of scrimmage or penetrate. He’s tough and versatile.
25. Seattle -- Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia: Don’t let Pete Carroll get his hands on a talented playmaker like Austin. Carroll knows how to get him 18 to 20 touches a game.
26. Green Bay -- Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina: The Packers need offensive line help, and with the top six offensive linemen off the board Goodwin may be the best choice left.
27. Houston -- Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia: The Texans could go in many directions but a guy next to Brian Cushing is necessary. Ogletree can rush the passer as well as play the run.
28. Denver -- Kevin Minter, MLB, LSU: The Broncos need a middle linebacker and Minter can plug in and play in the NFL.
29. New England -- Eric Reid , S, LSU: The Patriots could revamp their whole schedule and scheme. Reid offers a great dimension to the Belichick defense.
30. Atlanta -- Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M: Moore is sliding down the draft ladder after he embarrassed himself, but needs to dig his way out of the draft mess and point people to his game tapes. With Abraham gone the Falcons need a big pass rusher.
31. San Francisco -- John Jenkins , DT, Georgia: The 49ers need a big space-eater to clog up the run game. Have you watched Jenkins in the Senior Bowl tapes?
32. Baltimore -- Alex Okafor, DE/OLB, Texas: The Ravens can acquire a top pass rush talent in the mold of Peter Boulware. Okafor is an unselfish player that makes him a fit as an end or linebacker.
Hot names for consideration in the first round: Matt Elam, S, Florida; Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama; Sam Montgomery, DT, LSU; Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama; Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State; Robert Woods, WR, USC.
