The Michigan Wolverines haven't looked like the same team that cruised through its conference schedule last season, but they have a chance to notch a crucial Big Ten win at home on Wednesday against Northwestern. Michigan has won its last two games against Maryland and Indiana by a combined 37 points, and now face a Northwestern team that is coming off of a 20-point loss to No. 6 Purdue on Sunday. Wolverines center Hunter Dickinson has scored at least 21 points in four of his last five games and scored 19 points as a freshman in Michigan's lone matchup against the Wildcats last season.
Tip-off from the Crisler Center is set for 6:30 p.m. ET, where Michigan has covered the spread in three of its last four home games. The Wolverines are favored by eight points in the latest Michigan vs. Northwestern odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 138.5. Before entering any Northwestern vs. Michigan picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 12 of the season with a 49-36 record on all top-rated college basketball picks, returning almost $700. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of $2,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Michigan vs. Northwestern spread: Michigan -8
- Michigan vs. Northwestern over-under: 138.5 points
What you need to know about Michigan
Michigan had no trouble breezing by Indiana on Sunday, which ended with an 80-62 win over the Hoosiers. Dickinson finished with 25 points along with nine boards, but Eli Brooks had a quiet night, with just two points in 34 minutes of action. Brooks is the Wolverines' second-leading scorer this season and averages 11.5 points with 3.4 rebounds per start.
The Wolverines' perimeter defense has been strong all season, but it has been the best in the Big Ten so far. Conference opponents have made just 29.5 percent of their three-point attempts, while Michigan drains 36.6 percent of its shots from distance. Freshman guard Caleb Houstan has been the team's most prolific three-point shooter, and has made 35.4 percent of his team-leading 79 attempts from beyond the arc.
What you need to know about Northwestern
Northwestern was left licking its wounds after its 80-60 defeat to Purdue on Sunday. The top producer for the Wildcats was guard Boo Buie with 17 points. Northwestern's top scorer this season, Pete Nance, finished with just nine points after taking just three shots in 23 minutes of work.
Something to keep in mind about Northwestern: The Wildcats do well to not turn the ball over. That could be problematic for the Wolverines, who average just 4.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Northwestern opponents average just 4.5 steals, and the Wildcats only give away possession 9.1 times per contest.
How to make Northwestern vs. Michigan picks
The model has simulated Michigan vs. Northwestern 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Michigan vs. Northwestern? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks