Fantasy Football Week 10 Quarterback Preview: Russell Wilson is a start against the Buffalo Bills

If you're in a league where Russell Wilson is available and you're missing Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, or  Tua Tagovailoa there is a good chance Wilson is your best bet. For the season he is tied with Dak Prescott as QB12 on the season. Of the quarterbacks who have outscored him, the three mentioned above are on bye, Kirk Cousins and Justin Fields are out with injuries, and Will Levis has only played two games. In other words, amongst the QBs who have started at least three games and are definitely playing this week, Wilson is tied for QB5.

Wilson has three games with three touchdown passes and is averaging 25 yards per game on the ground, his best mark since 2020. His 6.9% TD rate leads the NFL, and while that is probably a sign of some coming regression, Wilson does have four prior seasons on his resume with a TD rate of 6.6% or higher. 

A matchup with the Bills should have him chasing the game script against a defense that looks nowhere near as formidable as they were projected to be due to a litany of injuries. Wilson projects as a top-10 QB for me this week and it shouldn't surprise anyone if he produces his third top-six finish of the season. You can find more of my projections for Week 10 over at SportsLine. 

Let's get to the rest of the preview:

Week 10 QB Preview

Numbers to Know

Matchups That Matter

Waiver Wire Targets

DFS Plays

Projections

QB Preview

Numbers to know

• 41 -- Joshua Dobbs has 41 or more rushing yards in six of nine starts, including 66 yards on the ground last week. Even with his mediocre passing numbers, that makes him a borderline starter.
• 24.0 -- Sam Howell is QB6 per game since Week 5, at 24 FPPG. He's a must-start QB until further notice.
• 123.2 -- Joe Burrow has a 123.2 passer rating in his last two games against the 49ers and the Bills. No quarterback is playing better than him right now.
• 30.9 -- Brock Purdy is averaging 30.9 drop backs per game, the lowest amongst current starters. He'll need elite efficiency to be a top-12 QB.
• 1.2% -- Just 1.2% of Lamar Jackson's throws have been graded turnover-worthy. he is playing elite football despite the lack of touchdowns.
• 2,270 -- C.J. Stroud's 2,270 passing yards are the third-most ever for a 22-year-old in his first eight NFL games.
• 23 -- Each of the last three QBs the Bills have faced has scored at least 23 Fantasy points. Russell Wilson is up next.

QB Preview

Matchups that matter

Matchups that Matter

Lamar Jackson QB

BAL Baltimore • #8
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs CLE BAL -6 O/U 37.5

OPP VS QB 24th

PROJ PTS 21.7

QB RNK 5th

YTD Stats
PAYDS 1954	RUYDS 440	TD 14	INT 3	FPTS/G 20.8

Deshaun Watson QB

CLE Cleveland • #4
Age: 28 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ BAL BAL -6 O/U 37.5

OPP VS QB 22nd

PROJ PTS 13.1

QB RNK 21st

YTD Stats
PAYDS 902	RUYDS 105	TD 7	INT 3	FPTS/G 16.5

Trevor Lawrence QB

JAC Jacksonville • #16
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs SF SF -3 O/U 45.5

OPP VS QB 2nd

PROJ PTS 16.5

QB RNK 11th

YTD Stats
PAYDS 1935	RUYDS 216	TD 9	INT 4	FPTS/G 17.3

Baker Mayfield QB

TB Tampa Bay • #6
Age: 29 • Experience: 7 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs TEN TB -1 O/U 38

OPP VS QB 5th

PROJ PTS 19.2

QB RNK 10th

YTD Stats
PAYDS 1865	RUYDS 122	TD 12	INT 4	FPTS/G 19.3

Geno Smith QB

SEA Seattle • #7
Age: 33 • Experience: 12 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs WAS SEA -6 O/U 45.5

OPP VS QB 24th

PROJ PTS 21.3

QB RNK 14th

YTD Stats
PAYDS 1802	RUYDS 53	TD 9	INT 7	FPTS/G 14.6

QB Preview

Waiver Wire Targets

Adds/Streamers (QB Preview)

Taylor Heinicke QB

ATL Atlanta • #4
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ ARI ATL -1.5 O/U 43

OPP VS QB 14th

QB RNK 19th

ROSTERED 48%

YTD Stats
PAYDS 443	RUYDS 34	TD 2	INT 1	FPTS/G 15.6

Russell Wilson, Joshua Dobbs, and Baker Mayfield were my top three options for a Week 10 streamer but as of Thursday night they're all rostered in more than two-thirds of leagues. If you missed out on them, the next best bet is Taylor Heinicke. Heinicke has a good matchup against the Arizona Cardinals and should have Drake London back. I project him for 18 FPPG and I'd rather start him than Geno Smith, Derek Carr, or Gardner Minshew.

One To Stash (QB Preview)

Will Levis QB

TEN Tennessee • #8
Age: 24 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ TB TB -1 O/U 39

OPP VS QB 30th

QB RNK 17th

ROSTERED 59%

YTD Stats
PAYDS 238	RUYDS 11	TD 4	INT 0	FPTS/G 34.6

Levis has been named the starter moving forward by Head Coach Mike Vrabel so he should be rostered in the majority of leagues as we wait to see whether his Week 8 or Week 9 performance was more indicative of what is to come.

QB Preview

DFS Plays

Top DFS Play

Joe Burrow QB

CIN Cincinnati • #9
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs HOU CIN -6.5 O/U 48

OPP VS QB 16th

PROJ PTS 23.3

QB RNK 2nd

YTD Stats
PAYDS 1861	RUYDS 61	TD 12	INT 4	FPTS/G 17.8

We don't have Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Tua Tagovailoa, or Josh Allen on the main slate. Even if we did, Burrow might be the best cash game option this week. He's averaging 30 FPPG in two games since the bye and a Week 10 shootout with C.J. Stroud and the Texans should keep his hot streak going.

Contrarian DFS Play

Trevor Lawrence QB

JAC Jacksonville • #16
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.

I'm pretty terrified of the 49ers coming off a bye, but I won't pass up a player of Lawrence's pedigree at an extremely low roster rate in a week where we're short on QB1s. Doug Pederson has had a couple of weeks to draw up a good game plan against this defense. If he hits the right numbers, Lawrence could be a GPP winner stacked with Christian Kirk and Calvin Ridley.

QB Preview

Heath's projections

My full set of Week 10 Fantasy Football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 10. Projected stats for all starting quarterbacks are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.