The St. Louis Cardinals have been a force in the NL Central for the last two decades, and they are expected to contend again in 2020. St. Louis has won 11 division titles since 2000, finishing below .500 just once in that span, and rallied from a 2-1 deficit to defeat Atlanta in the NL Division Series last year before being swept by Washington. But can you trust St. Louis when making your baseball picks on 2020 MLB win totals?
The Cardinals captured the NL Central crown in 2019 with 91 victories, marking the first time in four years they reached the 90-win plateau. The emergence of right-hander Jack Flaherty as the ace of the rotation and the addition of six-time All-Star Paul Goldschmidt to the middle of the lineup were instrumental. However, the Cardinals didn't make any notable improvements during the winter and bookmakers have set the over-under on their regular-season wins at 86.5. So which MLB win totals 2020 should you target? Before you make any MLB futures wagers or enter any 2020 MLB predictions, you need to see what the proven computer model at SportsLine just locked in.
The SportsLine Projection Model owned MLB win totals last year, going 14-5 on picks in which there was at least a three-win differential between the model's projection and the betting line. On its top five picks, the model went 4-1.
Take the 2019 Tigers. When Vegas books released Detroit's win total at 67, the SportsLine model said Vegas was way off, recommending the under. The result: Detroit finished 47-114, the second-worst season in franchise history, and anyone who followed the model's advice cashed with 20 games to spare.
Now, this model has simulated the entire 2020 season 10,000 times and found plenty of MLB teams whose Vegas win totals are way off so you can make the best MLB picks possible.
The model's top picks for 2020 MLB win totals
We can tell you the model says oddsmakers faltered when releasing 68.5 wins for San Francisco. The model strongly recommends going over since it has the Giants winning 74.6 games.
San Francisco improved its win total for a second straight year in 2019, posting 77 to place third in the NL West, its best finish since capturing a wild-card spot in 2016. The team reached that mark last season despite finishing near the bottom of the NL in most offensive categories, including runs (14th), homers (13th) and batting average (14th).
The Giants might not be be much better at the plate this year since they opted not to re-sign Kevin Pillar, who led the club with 21 homers and 87 RBIs in 2019. Hunter Pence returns after spending one season with Texas, but he turns 37 in April and missed the final month of last season with a back injury. Buster Posey has been on a steady decline, with his RBI total decreasing the last four years, but the model still says to go over, with the Giants smashing their win total by six.
How to make MLB picks on 2020 win totals
The model also generated huge disparities on other teams, including the Astros. They finished with an MLB-high 107 wins last year before their sign-stealing operation came to light. Oddsmakers set the Astros' 2020 win total at 94.5, and the projection model has a strong opinion on the beleaguered franchise's fortunes.
So which teams sail past their projected 2020 baseball win totals? What is the model's stunning forecast for Houston? And how many wins will every single MLB team have this season? Visit SportsLine now to get the best season win total bets, plus see every team's projected record, all from an uncanny computer model that crushed its MLB win total picks last year.