The New York Mets will look to snap out of their early-season funk and end the Atlanta Braves' five-game winning streak over them when they meet in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Monday afternoon. After Atlanta posted a 4-0 five-inning win on Friday, Saturday's and Sunday's games were both rained out. The Braves (18-9), who have won the last five National League East Division titles and won the 2021 World Series, have been dominant away from home, winning 11 of 13 games. The Mets (15-12) have been streaky this season, having won eight of nine from April 12-21. They have now lost five of six since that stretch.
The game is slated to begin at 1:10 p.m. ET from Citi Field in New York. The Braves have a team batting average of .255, 11th-best in the league, while the Mets are hitting .240, 20th-best. Atlanta is a -235 favorite (risk $235 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Braves vs. Mets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 8.5. Before locking in any Mets vs. Braves picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on Mets vs. Braves and revealed its predictions and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Braves vs. Mets:
- Braves vs. Mets money line: Braves -235, Mets +192
- Braves vs. Mets over-under: 8.5 runs
- Braves vs. Mets run line: Braves -1.5 (-145)
- ATL: The Braves have a plus-43 run differential this season
- NYM: The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 games
- Braves vs. Mets picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Mets
New York is expected to send right-hander Denyi Reyes (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound in what may be a bullpen game. Despite the apparent pitching mismatch, the Mets have a lineup that gives them a chance for the upset. Second baseman Jeff McNeil has six multi-hit games over the past 11, and nine total for the year. He is 4-for-9 over the past three games, and was 2-for-5 with a triple and RBI in a 9-8 win over Washington on Thursday. For the year, McNeil is batting .298 with one homer, nine RBI and 11 runs scored. He has feasted on Atlanta pitching in his career. In 56 games against them, he is hitting .338 with 21 doubles, four homers and 22 RBI.
Also helping lead New York is first baseman Pete Alonso, who was 1-for-2 in Friday's abbreviated series opener. He has nine multi-hit games on the year, including a 3-for-5 performance with an RBI in an 8-6 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 17. For the season, Alonso is hitting .257 with 10 homers, 25 RBI and 20 runs scored. In 64 career games against the Braves, he is hitting .250 with 11 doubles, 11 homers and 43 RBI. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why you should back the Braves
Right-hander Spencer Strider (3-0, 1.80 ERA) is expected to get the Game 1 start for Atlanta. Strider, who began his MLB career in 2021, started 20 games and appeared in 31 a year ago, compiling an 11-5 record with a 2.67 ERA, 45 walks and 202 strikeouts. He was dominant in his last outing, an 11-0 win over Miami last Monday. In that game, he went eight innings, allowing just two hits and no walks, while striking out 13. For the year, he only has 11 walks with 49 strikeouts.
Right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. has been red hot at the plate with hits in seven of the past nine games, including three with multi-hits. In Tuesday's 7-4 win against Miami, Acuna was 2-for-4 with a double. He was 1-for-3 with an RBI and a run scored in Friday's 4-0 win over the Mets. For the season, he is hitting .352 with four homers, 14 RBI and 23 runs scored. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Braves vs. Mets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the run total, as the simulations have the teams combining for 9.9 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mets vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model on a 26-21 roll on money-line picks dating back to last season, and find out.
