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The Toronto Blue Jays welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Rogers Centre on Saturday afternoon. The AL East rivals face off in a doubleheader, with the first matchup taking place in a matinee time slot. Tampa Bay is 40-36 this season and enters on a four-game losing streak. Toronto is 4-1 in the last five games, improving to 44-33 in 2022.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Toronto as the -140 money-line favorite (risk $140 to win $100) for this 12:07 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 7.5 in the latest Rays vs. Blue Jays odds. Before making any Blue Jays vs. Rays picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It's on a 59-51 run on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 12 weeks. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves as one of three best bets to win it all last season at +1000. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Rays vs. Blue Jays, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Blue Jays vs. Rays:

  • Rays vs. Blue Jays money line: Blue Jays -140, Rays +118
  • Rays vs. Blue Jays over-under: 7.5 runs
  • Rays vs. Blue Jays run line: Blue Jays -1.5 (+158)
  • TB: The Rays are 15-19 in road games
  • TOR: The Blue Jays are 25-15 in home games
  • Rays vs. Blue Jays picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Why you should back the Rays

The Rays do have offensive strengths, including impressive team speed that helps to produce top-tier marks in stolen bases and triples. However, Tampa Bay's most encouraging projection for Saturday afternoon's game is starting pitcher Shane McClanahan. The 25-year-old southpaw is enjoying arguably the best season of any starting pitcher in Major League Baseball. He leads the American League with a 1.77 ERA, including a sterling 1.07 ERA in his last nine outings. McClanahan also sets the pace of the league with 123 strikeouts and 7.69 strikeouts for every walk issued. 

He maintains a league-leading 0.832 WHIP, and opponents have a .524 OPS against McClanahan this season. On the road, he maintains a 1.48 ERA, and Tampa Bay also deploys a strong bullpen behind him. The Rays are in the top five of the American League with a 3.29 bullpen ERA, while the Blue Jays rank near the bottom of the league with a 4.30 bullpen ERA in 2022.

Why you should back the Blue Jays

Toronto has the more explosive offense in Saturday's matchup, but the Blue Jays can also be confident in starting pitcher Kevin Gausman. The 2021 All-Star has a 2.93 ERA this season, striking out 10.2 batters per nine innings and issuing only 1.6 walks per nine innings. Opponents have a .657 OPS against Gausman, and he threw seven shutout innings with 10 strikeouts in his last outing. 

Tampa Bay's offense ranks below the American League average in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, batting average, runs scored, home runs, doubles, hits and strikeouts, with Toronto's run production operating at a high level. The Blue Jays lead the AL in on-base percentage (.327) and slugging percentage (.437), with top-three marks in runs scored (370), hits (676), home runs (102), doubles (154) and batting average (.258) during the 2022 campaign.

How to make Rays vs. Blue Jays picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.9 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Blue Jays vs. Rays? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.