NBA: Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks
Benny Sieu / USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Celtics will try to bounce back from their overtime loss to Milwaukee when they face the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday night. Boston jumped out to a five-point lead in overtime, but the Bucks scored 13 of the final 15 points of the game. Meanwhile, Detroit has lost four of its last five games, falling at Toronto by one point on Sunday. 

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Boston is favored by 8 points in the latest Celtics vs. Pistons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 224.5. Before entering any Pistons vs. Celtics picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 18 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 55-29 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Pistons. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Celtics vs. Pistons:

  • Celtics vs. Pistons spread: Celtics -8
  • Celtics vs. Pistons over/under: 224.5 points
  • Celtics vs. Pistons money line: Boston -320, Detroit +250
  • Celtics vs. Pistons picks: See picks here

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is expected to be without leading scorers Jayson Tatum (illness) and Jaylen Brown (face) on Wednesday, but their absences did not keep the Celtics from competing on Tuesday. They held leads multiple times at Milwaukee, including two separate five-point leads in overtime. The Bucks wound up winning in the end, but they were not able to cover the 9.5-point spread.

Shooting guard Derrick White led five Boston starters in double figures with 27 points on 10 of 24 shooting, and he completed his double-double with 12 assists. Point guard Malcolm Brogdon added 26 points, four rebounds and four assists off the bench, while center Mike Muscala had 18 points and eight boards. The Celtics have now covered the spread in five straight games, and they are 12-2 in their last 14 home games. 

Why the Pistons can cover

Detroit will be hungry for another win after coming up just short at Toronto on Sunday. The Pistons, who were 11-point underdogs in that game, lost by just one point after beating San Antonio in double overtime in their previous outing. Veteran Bojan Bogdanovic poured in 33 points on 10 of 18 shooting, knocking down three triples and 10 free throws in the loss to the Raptors

Bogdanovic is having an excellent campaign, averaging 21.7 points and 3.6 rebounds per game while shooting 40.8% from 3-point range. Rookie center Jalen Duren scored a career-high 30 points in Friday's win against the Spurs, and he is averaging a team-best 8.8 rebounds per game. Boston is going to have trouble playing with a shorthanded lineup in the second leg of a back-to-back following an overtime loss. 

How to make Celtics vs. Pistons picks

The model has simulated Pistons vs. Celtics 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Pistons vs. Celtics spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.