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The Denver Nuggets (44-19) are set to host the Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) in a battle between the top two teams in the Western Conference standings on Friday at Ball Arena. Denver is 28-4 at home, while Memphis is 12-18 on the road. The Nuggets have won two straight after knocking off the Houston Rockets 133-112 on Tuesday. The Grizzlies are riding a three-game winning streak after defeating the Rockets 113-99 on Wednesday. Vlatko Cancar (wrist), Michael Porter Jr. (heel), and Aaron Gordon (rest) are listed as questionable for Denver. Steven Adams (knee) is out for Memphis.

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET. Denver is favored by 5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 234. Before locking in any Grizzlies vs. Nuggets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 57-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Grizzlies and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Nuggets vs. Grizzlies:

  • Nuggets vs. Grizzlies spread: Nuggets -5
  • Nuggets vs. Grizzlies over/under: 234 points
  • Nuggets vs. Grizzlies money line: Denver -205, Memphis 170
  • Nuggets vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets made easy work of the Houston Rockets on Tuesday and carried off a 133-112 win. The contest was pretty much decided by the half, when the score had already reached 74-54. It was another big night for Denver's point guard Jamal Murray, who shot 5-for-10 from beyond the arc and finished with 32 points and six assists.

Two-time reigning NBA MVP Nikola Jokic gives the Nuggets a massive advantage in this matchup. The 27-year-old Serbian is widely considered the favorite to win his third consecutive MVP award and enters this matchup averaging 24.6 points, 11.7 rebounds, and 10.0 assists per game this season. Murray is starting to look more and more like the player he was before tearing his ACL and gives the Nuggets an explosive scoring threat in their backcourt.

What you need to know about the Grizzlies

Meanwhile, Memphis strolled past Houston with points to spare on Wednesday, taking the game 113-99. Grizzlies' shooting guard Desmond Bane was outstanding, going 6-for-9 from downtown and finishing with 30 points, six assists and nine rebounds.

A couple stats to keep an eye on: The Nuggets enter the matchup with a 51.0% field goal percentage, which is the best in the league. On the other side, Memphis is holding its opponents to a field goal percentage of 44.7%, which places them first in the league. We'll see which of these strengths -- offense or defense -- will win out. Explosive point guard Ja Morant continues to be a force for the Grizzlies, averaging 27.1 points, 8.2 assists, and 6.0 rebounds per game.

How to make Nuggets vs. Grizzlies picks

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Grizzlies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.