We've got another exciting Western Conference matchup on the schedule as the Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks are set to tip at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday at the American Airlines Center. Dallas is 38-29 overall and 20-15 at home, while Denver is 47-20 overall and 20-14 on the road. These two teams have split their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
On Sunday, the Nuggets are favored by 4 points in the latest Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds, while the over/under is 229 points. Before entering any Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 70-46 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Denver vs. Dallas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets spread: Mavs +4
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets over/under: 229 points
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets money line: Mavs: +141, Nuggets: -168
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks: See picks here
What you need to know about the Nuggets
The Nuggets entered their tilt with the Spurs with four consecutive wins but they'll enter their next game with five. Denver came out on top against the Spurs by a score of 117-106 on Friday. Winning is a bit easier when you work as a team to rack up 14 more assists than your opponent, as the Nuggets did.
Among those leading the charge was Nikola Jokic, who scored 31 points to go along with seven rebounds and five assists. For the season, Jokic is averaging 26.0 points, 12.2 rebounds and 9.1 assists. Denver is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games on the road and the Nuggets have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings against Dallas.
What you need to know about the Mavericks
Meanwhile, the Mavericks unfortunately witnessed the end of their four-game winning streak on Thursday. Dallas took a 126-119 hit to the loss column at the hands of the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Mavericks might have lost, but Kyrie Irving was extremely effective, shooting 4-for-7 from long range and dropping a double-double with 36 points and 12 assists. Tim Hardaway Jr. was another key contributor, shooting 5-for-9 from long range and almost dropping a double-double with 23 points and nine rebounds.
The Mavericks are scoring 119.0 points per game on average this season, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Dallas is 4-1 in its last five games but the Mavericks are just 3-11 in their last 14 games played on a Sunday.
How to make Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks
The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Nuggets vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that's on a sizzling 70-46 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
