The Western Conference-leading Denver Nuggets (46-19) hit the road to take on the San Antonio Spurs (16-49) on Friday, Mar. 10. San Antonio owns a 10-22 home record and the Nuggets are 16-15 on the road. Denver saw its four game winning streak come to a halt in a disappointing 117-96 home loss to the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday, while the Spurs are coming off a 142-110 blowout loss to the Houston Rockets on Mar. 5. Vlatko Cancar (wrist) is listed as a game-time decision for the Nuggets. Doug McDermott (thumb) and Romeo Langford (thigh) are listed as probable for San Antonio.
Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. Denver is favored by 12 points in the latest Spurs vs. Nuggets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 234.5. Before making any Nuggets vs. Spurs picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the red-hot computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 61-30 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Spurs vs. Nuggets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Spurs vs. Nuggets:
- Spurs vs. Nuggets spread: Spurs +12
- Spurs vs. Nuggets over/under: 236 points
- Spurs vs. Nuggets money line: San Antonio 550, Denver -800
- Spurs vs. Nuggets picks: See picks here
What you need to know about the Spurs
There's no need to mince words: the Spurs lost to the Houston Rockets on Sunday, and they lost bad. The score wound up at 142-110. San Antonio was down 108-87 at the end of the third quarter, which was just too much to recover from. One thing holding San Antonio back was the mediocre play of small forward Keldon Johnson, who did not have his best game: he played for 26 minutes but put up just eight points on 3-for-10 shooting and five turnovers.
The Spurs are very much in the midst of a rebuilding project, but they do have some nice pieces to build around led by small forward Keldon Johnson and shooting guard Devin Vassell. Johnson enters Friday averaging 21.6 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game. Vassell owns per game averages 19.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.6 assists.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
Meanwhile, Denver found themselves the reluctant recipients of an unpleasant 117-96 punch to the gut against the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. This matchup was a close 52-51 at the break, but unfortunately for Denver it sure didn't stay that way. Center Nikola Jokic (18 points) and power forward Aaron Gordon (17 points) were the top scorers for the Nuggets.
Allowing an average of 122.32 points per game, the Spurs haven't exactly asserted themselves on the defensive end, which should open the door for a bounce back from the Nuggets. Jokic, the current betting favorite to win the 2022-23 NBA MVP award, is averaging 24.3 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 10.0 rebounds per game this season.
How to make Nuggets vs. Spurs picks
The model has simulated Spurs vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Spurs vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Spurs vs. Nuggets spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
