nikola-jokic-usatsi-cbs.jpg
USATSI

The Denver Nuggets (55-24) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (55-24) link up in a Western Conference battle on Wednesday. The winner of this contest takes hold of the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, with just two games remaining for each team afterwards. This is the final regular season matchup, with the Timberwolves owning a 2-1 edge over Denver. On Mar. 29, Minnesota topped the Nuggets 111-98. Jamal Murray (knee) and Aaron Gordon (foot) are listed as questionable for Denver.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds, per SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 211.5. Before making any Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 25 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 83-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Timberwolves vs. Nuggets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets:

  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets spread: Denver -6.5
  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Over/Under: 211.5 points  
  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets moneyline: Denver -250, Minnesota +206
  • DEN: The Nuggets have covered the 1Q spread in 58 of their last 92 games.
  • MIN: The Timberwolves are 22-16-2 against the spread in road games this season.
  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Guard Anthony Edwards is an athletic scorer on the floor for the Timberwolves. Edwards is able to glide to the rim consistently but owns the jumper to space out the floor. The 22-year-old averages 25.9 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game. In his last outing, Edwards totaled 51 points, six boards, and seven assists. 

Center Naz Reid is a nice difference-maker in the frontcourt. Reid can hit perimeter jumpers when left open but he can finish around the rim with both hands. The LSU product logs 13.6 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. In the April 7 win over the Lakers, Reid totaled 31 points, 11 boards, and 6 of 8 from beyond the arc. See which team to pick here

Why the Nuggets can cover

Forward Michael Porter Jr. is a lengthy, athletic presence who has a sweet jumper from beyond the arc and also consistently climbs the glass to be an effective rebounder. Porter Jr. averages 16.8 points, seven rebounds, and shoots 40% from beyond the arc. On April 2 versus the Spurs, he had 15 points and 16 boards.

Guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope brings terrific energy as a role player. Caldwell-Pope plays great defense and has a knack for jumping into passing lanes. The Georgia product owns a smooth outside shot and logs 10.2 points and 1.3 steals while shooting 41% from downtown. On April 6 against the Hawks, Caldwell-Pope had 24 points and made six 3-pointers. See which team to pick here.

How to make Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 219 points. The model also says one side hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine

So who Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, and which side hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that's on a sizzling 83-58 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.