The Philadelphia 76ers aim to right the ship on Wednesday evening at Wells Fargo Center. The Sixers host the Golden State Warriors in the second matchup between the two teams in the last eight days. Philadelphia has dropped six of the last seven games, falling to 30-19 this season. However, the 76ers are 17-8 at home, and the Warriors are just 9-12 on the road on the way to a 22-25 overall record. Joel Embiid (knee), De'Anthony Melton (back) and Nicolas Batum (hamstring) are out for Philadelphia, with Tyrese Maxey (illness) listed as questionable. Draymond Green (knee) is questionable for Golden State, with Chris Paul (hand) ruled out.
For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Warriors as 5-point favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 235.5 in the latest Warriors vs. 76ers odds. Before making any 76ers vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 51-33 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $1,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Sixers. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Sixers vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. 76ers spread: Warriors -5
- Warriors vs. 76ers over/under: 235.5 points
- Warriors vs. 76ers money line: Warriors -201, 76ers +166
- Golden State: The Warriors are 13-8 against the spread in road games
- Philadelphia: The 76ers are 16-9 against the spread in home games
- Warriors vs. 76ers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State fared well in the first matchup against Philadelphia, emerging victorious on Jan. 30. The Warriors shot 55.7% from the field and 43.8% from 3-point range in that win, generating 32 assists in the process. On defense, Golden State also forced 16 turnovers and allowed only 11 assists. The Warriors also have a dynamic force in Stephen Curry, who generated 37 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists in that head-to-head victory. Curry leads the NBA in 3-pointers (213) and free throw percentage (93.2%) this season, and he is averaging 28.1 points per game.
In the last six outings, Curry is averaging 37.5 points per game on 45.1% 3-point shooting, and he is the engine of an offense scoring more than 1.17 points per possession this season. The Warriors are also in the top six of the NBA in offensive rebound rate (31.8%) and second-chance points (15.9 per game), and Golden State is averaging more than 28 assists per contest as a team. On defense, the Warriors' strength is closing possessions, with a 72% defensive rebound rate and only 13.3 second-chance points allowed per game. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the 76ers can cover
Philadelphia has the edge in playing at Wells Fargo Center. The Warriors are below the .500 mark in road games, and the 76ers are 17-8 with a sterling +7.8 net rating in home tilts. Philadelphia is also keyed by a top-tier guard in Maxey (questionable), who was selected as an All-Star this season. Maxey is averaging 25.9 points and 6.4 assists, and he is shooting 38% from 3-point range. Maxey also has two 50-point games this season, including a 51-point explosion against the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Maxey leads a dynamic offense, and the 76ers also have strong defensive metrics to lean on in this setting.
Philadelphia ranks firmly in the top 10 of the NBA in overall defensive efficiency, giving up only 113.5 points per 100 possessions. The 76ers are leading the league with 8.9 steals per game, and Philadelphia is in the top eight in both turnovers created (14.5 per game) and blocked shots (5.9 per game). Golden State struggles in ball security on offense, and the 76ers also hold opponents to just 34.5% 3-point shooting. That is a weapon against a Warriors team that relies on long-distance shooting from Curry. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Warriors vs. 76ers picks
The model has simulated Sixers vs. Warriors 10,000 times and is leaning Under on the total, projecting 231 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.
So who wins 76ers vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 51-33 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.
