The Indianapolis Colts will take on the Chicago Bears at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Soldier Field. Chicago is 3-0 overall and 1-0 at home, while the Colts are 2-1 overall and 0-1 on the road. Indianapolis is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Bears vs. Colts odds from William Hill, and the over-under is set at 43. Before entering any Colts vs. Bears picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 7-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 4 on an incredible 103-67 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Bears vs. Colts spread: Bears +2.5
- Bears vs. Colts over-under: 43 points
- Bears vs. Colts money line: Chicago +115, Indianapolis -135
Why the Bears can cover
The Bears beat the Atlanta Falcons 30-26 this past Sunday, overcoming a 26-10 deficit. Chicago has won its first three games for the first time since 2013. The last time the Bears started 4-0 was 2006, when they won the NFC and went to Super Bowl XLI. Nick Foles will make his first start for Chicago this week. He passed for three TDs and one INT for a 95.2 rating in his Bears debut last week.
Allen Robinson tied his career high with 10 catches for 123 yards and a TD last week. It was his fourth career game with 10 catches. Jimmy Graham had six catches for 60 yards and two TDs. He has 16 career games with two-plus TDs, tied for the third-most by a tight end in NFL history. Khalil Mack has a sack in four consecutive home games. The Bears enter the contest with only two passing touchdowns allowed, which is the best in the NFL.
Why the Colts can cover
Indianapolis coasted past the New York Jets in a 36-7 win. The matchup was all but wrapped up at the end of the third, by which point the Colts had established a 31-7 advantage. Philip Rivers completed 17 of 21 passes for a TD and a season-high 125.6 rating. He became the sixth quarterback in NFL history with 400 career TD passes.
Jonathan Taylor rushed for 59 yards and a TD last week. He is aiming for his third game in a row with a rushing TD. Taylor ranks third among rookies with 182 rushing yards. Mo Alie-Cox had three catches for 50 yards and a TD in Week 3. He is tied for fourth among tight ends with 181 receiving yards. Darius Leonard led the team with 11 tackles. He has 10-plus tackles in two of his past three games.
How to make Bears vs. Colts picks
SportsLine's model has simulated Bears vs. Colts 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bears vs. Colts? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Colts vs. Bears spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 4 of the NFL season on an incredible 103-67 roll.