The Denver Broncos try to keep their flagging playoff hopes alive when they host the Cleveland Browns for a special Saturday NFL game. It's an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff from Broncos Stadium at Mile High. Denver (6-7) sits one game back of the second AFC wild-card spot, while Cleveland (5-7-1) also isn't out of it. The Broncos fell 20-14 at San Francisco last week, while the Browns took care of Carolina, 26-20, to improve to 3-2 under interim coach Gregg Williams. The line has been falling all week, opening at Broncos -4 before being bet all the way down to 1.5. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, has trended the other way, opening at 44 and climbing to 47 in the live Browns vs. Broncos odds. Before you make any Browns vs. Broncos picks and predictions, see what Vegas legend Micah Roberts has to say.

The longtime former head of Station Casinos sportsbooks, Roberts can spot a bad point spread a mile away. And he's uncanny when it comes to the Broncos. In his past 12 spread picks for or against Denver, Roberts has been right nine times.

In Week 13, with the Broncos visiting Cincinnati as five-point favorites, Roberts told readers Denver would run wild and cover. In their 24-10 win, the Broncos rushed for an astounding 218 yards, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. Anyone who followed him booked an easy winner. Now, Roberts is dialed in on Broncos vs. Browns (stream live on fuboTV) and locked in a strong point-spread pick. He's only sharing it over at SportsLine. 

Roberts knows the Broncos average 5.2 yards per carry, second-best in the NFL, and that running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman have combined for 15 touchdowns. Denver boasts an elite pass rush led by linebackers Von Miller (13.5 sacks) and Bradley Chubb (12) and holds opponents to 21.7 points per game (ninth in the NFL). 

The Broncos have covered six of their last eight games, and, shockingly, have defeated Cleveland 11 straight times. In their last four games, the Broncos have upset the Steelers (-3) and Chargers (-7), winning 24-17 and 23-22, respectively.

But just because the Broncos have owned this series doesn't mean they'll cover against the up-and-coming Browns.

The Browns are a new team under interim coach Gregg Williams and offensive coordinator Freddie Kitchens. Rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield has posted a 114.5 passer rating under the new regime, compared to 78.9 over the season's first eight games.

Defensively, Cleveland will be able to load up the box to stop Lindsay since Denver has lost No. 1 wideout Emmanuel Sanders (Achilles) for the year. The Browns, who have covered three of four, could be catching banged-up Denver at the right time.

We can tell you Roberts is leaning under, but his much stronger play is against the spread. He says there's a huge X-factor that causes one side of the spread to hit hard. He's sharing what it is, and who to back, only at SportsLine.

Who covers in Browns vs. Broncos? And what huge X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to get Micah Roberts' strong against-the-spread pick for Browns vs. Broncos, all from the former Vegas bookmaker who's 9-3 on Broncos picks.