The final game of the Week 8 NFL schedule has stakes on both sides. The New York Giants will visit Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The Giants are coming off a win in Week 7 and are trying to save their season after a 1-5 start. The Chiefs have lost two of the last three games in lopsided fashion, scuffling to a 3-4 mark through seven games. 

Kick-off is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Kansas City. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 10.5-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 52 in the latest Giants vs. Chiefs odds. Before you make any Giants vs. Chiefs picks and NFL predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein has to say.

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Entering the 2021 campaign, Hartstein was 351-291 all-time on NFL sides, returning more than $2,200 for $100 bettors.

In addition, Hartstein is an expert on the Chiefs. He is a blistering 18-5 in his last 23 NFL picks involving Kansas City, returning more than $1,200 for $100 bettors! Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Giants. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and trends for Giants vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Giants spread: Chiefs -10.5
  • Chiefs vs. Giants over-under: 52 points
  • Chiefs vs. Giants money line: Chiefs -550, Giants +400
  • NYG: Giants won outright as three-point underdogs last week
  • KC: Chiefs are 2-5 against the spread this season

Why the Giants can cover

New York has intriguing pieces on the defensive side, giving the visiting team hope in slowing the Chiefs. Azeez Ojulari leads the team with 5.5 sacks, while Leonard Williams has 4.5 and a team-leading nine QB hits. James Bradberry leads the secondary with eight passes defended and three interceptions, ranking in the top five of the NFL in both categories.

New York is allowing points on only 41.9 percent of defensive possessions, a top-10 figure, and the Giants are creating a turnover on 12.2 percent of defensive drives. New York is also above-average in third down defense, allowing opponents to convert only 38.3 percent of the time. The Chiefs are explosive, but Kansas City has committed more turnovers (17) than any NFL team, and the Giants could be opportunistic as a result.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Patrick Mahomes is arguably the NFL's best quarterback, ranking No. 2 in completions (187), No. 4 in passing yards (2,093), passing touchdowns (18) and QBR (63.9). On the outside, Tyreek Hill ranks No. 3 with 52 catches and is one of the fastest players in the league. Hill is a top-five player in receiving yards (641) with five receiving touchdowns and is a threat to put the ball in the end zone at any moment.

Travis Kelce is the NFL's top tight end, leading the position with 533 yards receiving and a top-five mark with 45 receptions. The Chiefs are also hyper-efficient when needed, featuring the NFL's best third down efficiency mark of 57 percent and the No. 1 mark with 44.4 yards per offensive possession.

How to make Chiefs vs. Giants picks

Hartstein has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning under the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Giants vs. Chiefs? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Hartstein's Giants vs. Chiefs pick, all from the NFL expert who's 18-5 on picks involving Kansas City, and find out