The mad dash to Super Bowl LV has begun. After a wild Week 17 crystalized the playoff picture, we have 10 teams (Indianapolis, Washington and Seattle were eliminated on Saturday, while Baltimore was eliminated Sunday) left standing and on the verge of trying to claw their way to Tampa. For the Packers and Chiefs, they get the luxury of sitting back and enjoying Super Wild-Card Weekend with the rest of us after securing the No. 1 seed in their respective conferences along with a first-round bye. Six games are on the weekend schedule and that's how many clubs will be erased from the playoffs when the dust settles on Monday.
Each week, we'll collect all of the best picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional feature content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more. Ready or not, here come the playoffs.
With all but one game from Super Wild-Card Weekend either in the books or currently being played, here's a look at how our experts break down the Browns-Steelers finale.
All NFL odds via William Hill Sportsbook.
Browns at Steelers
Time: Sunday, 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
"The Browns beat the Steelers last week to get into the playoffs, but it was a Steelers team that rested a lot of players, including Ben Roethlisberger. This will be much more of a challenge, especially without Browns coach Kevin Stefanski, who is out with COVID-19. The Browns' plan will still be to pound the football at the Steelers to control the clock and let Baker Mayfield make plays on the move. But the Steelers defense will respond to that and play well here. Roethlisberger came alive in the second half of his last game against the Colts and I think that will carry over against the Browns. The Steelers own the Browns in Pittsburgh and that will continue." -- Pete Prisco on why leaning towards the Steelers to pull out a 27-17 win.
SportsLine managing editor R.J. White has been superb handicapping the Steelers, owning a 26-11 record on his last 37 against-the-spread picks involving the Pittsburgh. As for who he likes this week, head on over to SportsLine to find out.
"Another game that confuses me. COVID hits the Browns, Kevin Stefanski is ruled out, they lose Joel Bitonio, the line goes off the board with the Steelers favored by five points and naturally it re-opens at ... Steelers -6? Was the COVID stuff already baked in??? Are the head coach of an NFL team and a Pro Bowl lineman really only worth one or two points to the spread? That seems crazy to me. And there's buy back in some spots on the Browns. I love Pittsburgh here. Ben Roethlisberger got to rest after finding something against Indianapolis a few weeks back and I just don't think Cleveland's going to move the ball very well with the limited personnel they have and a total lack of practice until Friday afternoon. Maybe I'm wrong and Nick Chubb is ripping off big gainers. If they get him and Kareem Hunt going early and can get downhill on the Steelers from the get go, this could be a different game. It's the ultimate "no one believes in us" game because no one is backing the Browns here. But if the Steelers get a lead and Baker Mayfield has to throw a ton against this defensive front? It could be curtains for an incredible Browns season." -- Will Brinson on why he is picking the Steelers to win, 24-10.
"The Under is 14-17-1 between these two teams this year, but they totaled 45 and 46 points respectively over their two regular-season matchups. Both of those games would have gone Under at this current total. Cleveland finished the season with a -11 point differential and have shown the ability to slow their games down with a strong running game, which could help keep this game Under." -- Tyler Sullivan on why he likes the Under at 47.5
Top prop picks
Baker Mayfield Under 239.5 passing yards (-115)
"So yes, Mayfield has put up over 250 yards in five of his past six. But he didn't even get to 200 yards against the Steelers' diminished defense in Week 17, nor did he in Week 6, nor has he ever had 200 yards against Pittsburgh in five career games! Now he's supposed to with his playcaller not at the game and with the Steelers defense returning most of their starters?" -- Dave Richard on why he is leaning towards the Under on Mayfield's passing yards.
First touchdown scorer: Chase Claypool (+900).
"Claypool was able to find pay dirt in Week 15, snapping a five-game scoreless streak. According to CBS Sports research analyst Stephen Oh's projections, Claypool holds great value as the first touchdown scorer during this Super Wild-Card Weekend matchup as his simulations have the receiver at +790 to score first." -- Tyler Sullivan, who is rolling the dice on Claypool scoring first.