Whether it's Mac Jones (ankle) or Bailey Zappe under center, or both, the New England Patriots will try to continue their two-game winning streak and get back over .500 on Monday Night Football when they host the Chicago Bears. Chicago has lost three games in a row, but ranks second in rushing. The latest Patriots vs. Bears NFL player props from Caesars Sportsbook list David Montgomery's over-under for total rushing yards at 52.5, while Khalil Herbert's is 31.5.
Can Bill Belichick scheme up a defensive game plan to slow down Chicago's run game or should you hammer the over on rushing yards in your NFL prop bets? Which NFL props should you target? Before betting any NFL props for Monday Night Football, you need to see the Bears vs. Patriots NFL prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. The model entered Week 4 with a 22-10 record on NFL prop picks this season, returning almost $1,000 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
With Bears vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football approaching, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Patriots vs. Bears
After simulating Bears vs. Patriots 10,000 times and examining the dozens of NFL props from Caesars Sportsbook, the model says Bears quarterback Justin Fields goes Under 164.5 passing yards. The Bears rank dead-last in pass attempts (115) and passing yards (737) and a general lack of protection and playmaking ability has been a big reason why.
Chicago's offensive line has allowed a league-worst 23 sacks and has a league-worst adjusted sack rate of 15.7% that is nearly 50% worse than the 31st-ranked Giants (10.5%). Expected No. 1 receiver Darnell Mooney ranks bottom 10 among NFL receivers in DVOA (-26.2%). Fields has also struggled with accuracy, completing 54.8% of his passes with a catchable pass rate of 72.2% that ranks 27th among NFL quarterbacks.
Chicago's offense has done Fields no favors and the model is expecting his inconsistency to continue against a defense that has generated 12 turnovers in the last five weeks. See more NFL props here.
How to make NFL player prop bets for Chicago vs. New England
In addition, the model says another star obliterates his yardage total for a plus-money payout. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Patriots vs. Bears prop bets for Monday Night Football.
Which Patriots vs. Bears prop bets should you target for Monday Night Football? And which plus-money prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Bears vs. Patriots props, all from the model that's up almost $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks.
