Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys will host the Houston Texans for an all-Texas matchup on Sunday. The Cowboys vaporized the Colts 54-19 to improve to 9-3 last time out and have won five of their last six games. The Texans couldn't defeat a rusty Deshaun Watson last week and have now lost seven straight games. Houston's 1-10 record is the worst in the NFL. The large spread reflects the perceived gap in quality between these teams. The Cowboys are 17-point favorites in the latest Week 14 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Which Week 14 NFL lines should you target with your Week 14 NFL bets? Before you make any Week 14 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 156-112 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 14. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 14 NFL picks at SportsLine.

Top Week 14 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Tennessee Titans (-3.5) to cover against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Titans have the third-best run defense in the league.

Allowing just 83.1 yards per game on the ground, Tennessee forces opponents to put the ball in the air. Neutralizing lead back Travis Etienne would put more pressure on Trevor Lawrence and his receivers. Lawrence missed two days of practice this week with a toe injury, was limited on Friday, and is officially listed as questionable. Without an efficient ground game to fall back on, the Jaguars could have a long day if Lawrence is compromised and unable to get the air attack going. That is one reason the Titans are covering the spread in over 50% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

How to make Week 14 NFL parlays

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including a pair of underdogs that have a chance to win outright. You can only see the model's NFL Week 14 best bets and parlay at SportsLine

What are the model's top Week 14 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 14 NFL best bets from a model on a 156-112 run on its top-rated picks, and find out.