The Memphis Tigers (21-9) and the Houston Cougars (28-5) square off in the 2022 AAC Championship game in Fort Worth, Texas on Sunday afternoon. Memphis has won six straight games, outlasting SMU in the semis. Houston has won eight of its last 10 games, including an 86-66 victory over Tulane in its last contest. The winner of this game will automatically qualify for the 2022 NCAA Tournament

Tip-off is at 3:15 p.m. ET from Dickies Arena. Houston is favored by 3.5-points in the latest Memphis vs. Houston odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 133.5. Before locking in any Houston vs. Memphis picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Memphis vs. Houston and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model's college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Houston vs. Memphis:

  • Memphis vs. Houston spread: Cougars -3.5
  • Memphis vs. Houston over-under: 133.5 points
  • Memphis vs. Houston money line: Tigers +140, Cougars -160
  • MEM: The Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall
  • HOU: The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite
Featured Game | Houston Cougars vs. Memphis Tigers

Why Houston can cover

Senior center Josh Carlton is averaging 11.8 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. Carlton is extremely efficient and is ranked first in the AAC in field-goal percentage (.625). The North Carolina native has grabbed double-digit boards in six games. On Feb. 20 against Wichita State, Carlton had 23 points and 11 rebounds, while shooting 9-for-14 from the field. 

Senior guard Taze Moore is a playmaker in the backcourt for the Cougars. Moore has the athleticism to finish strong around the rim. The Mississippi native is putting up 10.2 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 2.7 assists per game. He's scored at least 16 points in four of his last seven matchups. In the semis, Moore recorded 17 points, seven assists and two steals. 

Why Memphis can cover

Freshman center Jalen Duren has been a consistent force in the frontcourt. He ranks first in the AAC in rebounds (8) and first in blocks (2.2), while scoring 12.2 points per game. Duren has recorded six double-doubles on the year. On Mar. 11 against UCF, the Pennsylvania native had a monster game. He finished with 21 points and 20 rebounds. Duren also defends the rim well, logging at least three blocks in 10 games. 

Junior guard Lester Quinones is averaging 10.2 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 1.2 steals per game. The New York native is a reliable option from deep, shooting 39 percent from 3-point land. Quinones has scored in double figures in nine of his last 10 games. In the quarterfinal matchup against UCF, he had 22 points and went 5-for-8 from downtown. 

How to make Houston vs. Memphis picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 141 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Memphis vs. Houston? And which side of the spread hits well over 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.